Thomas Daniels
Qhia rau nws!
| Sijhawm (GMT+0/UTC+0) | State | tseem ceeb | Event | | Previous |
| 04:30 |  | 2 points | Industrial Production (MoM) (Jul) | -1.6% | -1.6% |
| 11:30 |  | 2 points | New Loans (Aug) | 750.0B | -50.0B |
| 14:00 |  | 2 points | Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations (Sep) | ---- | 4.8% |
| 14:00 | | 2 points | Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations (Sep) | ---- | 3.5% |
| 14:00 | | 2 points | Michigan Consumer Expectations (Sep) | ---- | 55.9 |
| 14:00 | | 2 points | Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Sep) | 58.0 | 58.2 |
| 16:00 | | 2 points | WASDE Report | ---- | ---- |
| 17:00 | | 2 points | US Baker Hughes Roj Rig suav | ---- | 414 |
| 17:00 | | 2 points | US Baker Hughes Total Rig suav | ---- | 537 |
| 19:30 | | 2 points | CFTC Crude Oil speculative net txoj haujlwm | ---- | 102.4K |
| 19:30 | | 2 points | CFTC Kub speculative net txoj haujlwm | ---- | 249.5K |
| 19:30 | | 2 points | CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net txoj haujlwm | ---- | 15.4K |
| 19:30 | | 2 points | CFTC S&P 500 speculative net txoj haujlwm | ---- | -161.1K |
| 19:30 |  | 2 points | CFTC AUD speculative net positions | ---- | -82.7K |
| 19:30 | | 2 points | CFTC JPY speculative net txoj haujlwm | ---- | 73.3K |
| 19:30 |  | 2 points | CFTC EUR speculative net txoj haujlwm | ---- | 119.6K |
Summary of Upcoming Economic Events on Cuaj hlis 12, 2025
Asia - Nyiv & Tuam Tshoj
Nyiv Industrial Production (MoM, Jul) – 04:30 UTC
- Huab cua: -1.6% (ua ntej -1.6%)
- Qhov cuam tshuam: Tsis xav hloov. Cov zis tsis muaj zog qhia txog kev lag luam qeeb qeeb hauv kev tsim khoom thiab kev xav tau thoob ntiaj teb, hnyav ntawm JPY. Kev ruaj khov tab sis kev nyeem tsis zoo qhia txog kev poob qis rau cov khoom lag luam Nyij Pooj thiab cov neeg xa khoom lag luam.
Tuam Tshoj Cov Nyiaj Txais Tshiab (Lub Yim Hli) - 11:30 UTC
- Huab cua: 750B (ua ntej -50B)
- Qhov cuam tshuam: Ib qho kev rov qab muaj zog los ntawm kev qiv qiv nyiaj tsis zoo rov ua dua tshiab credit loj hlob.
- Kev qiv nyiaj siab dua → txhawb kev loj hlob kev cia siab, txhawb nqa CNY thiab Asian equities.
- Tsis muaj zog luam tawm → txhawb kev poob qis, kev poob qis rau cov khoom muag thiab cov khoom muaj nqis txaus ntshai.
United States - Consumer Sentiment, Agriculture & Zog
University of Michigan Survey (Sep) – 14:00 UTC
- 1-Xyoo Inflation Expectations: yav dhau los 4.8%
- 5-Xyoo Inflation Expectations: yav dhau los 3.5%
- Kev cia siab ntawm cov neeg siv khoom: kwv yees 55.9 (prev 55.9)
- Consumer Sentiment: kwv yees 58.0 (prev 58.2)
- Qhov cuam tshuam:
- Cov kev cia siab nce nyiaj nce ntxiv → ntxiv dag zog rau USD, txhawb nqa yields, pressures equities.
- Txhim kho kev xav → bullish rau kev ncaj ncees. Kev xav tsis muaj zog yuav cuam tshuam qhov kev xav tau tsis yooj yim.
WASDE Report – 16:00 UTC
- Qhov cuam tshuam: USDA cov qoob loo / kev xav tau hloov tshiab tuaj yeem txav cov khoom lag luam (pob kws, nplej, taum pauv). Cov khoom siv siab dua → bearish rau cov nqi; qis mov → bullish, muaj peev xwm nqa nyiaj txiag kev cia siab.
Baker Hughes Rig suav - 17:00 UTC
- Roj Rigs: ua 414
- Tag nrho Rigs: ua 537
- Qhov cuam tshuam: Rising rig suav → ntau dua US cov zis, hnyav ntawm cov roj av. Poob rigs → bullish rau cov nqi roj.
CFTC Cov Ntaub Ntawv Tso Cai - 19:30 UTC
- Crude Oil Net Speculative Positions: yav 102.4k
- Gold Net Speculative Positions: yav 249.5k
- Equity Index Positions (Nasdaq, S&P 500): qhia speculative sentiment rau US equities.
- FX Speculative Positions (AUD, JPY, EUR): qhia hedge fund positioning, tseem ceeb rau FX kev lag luam kev tsom xam.
Kev Tshawb Fawb Txog Kev Ua Lag Luam
- Asia: Tsom ntsoov rau Suav qiv nyiaj rov qab. Yog tias Cov Nyiaj qiv tshiab tshaj li kev kwv yees, kev pheej hmoo txaus ntshai yuav txhim kho hauv cov khoom lag luam thiab cov txiaj ntsig Asia-Pacific. Kev luam ntawv tsis muaj zog tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev pheej hmoo thoob ntiaj teb.
- US: Michigan qhov kev cia siab ntawm kev nce nqi thiab kev xav ntawm cov neeg siv khoom yuav zoo li Fed qhov kev xav. WASDE ntxiv rau cov khoom lag luam-driven inflation txaus ntshai. Rig suav thiab CFTC ntws cuam tshuam lub zog thiab hlau.
- Qhov chaw cov ntaub ntawv: Cov kub kub ntev + qhov tsis muaj zog qhov chaw tso tawm qhia tias kev tiv thaiv kev pheej hmoo tseem nyob hauv kev lag luam.
Zuag qhia tag nrho cov qhab nias: 7/10
- Yog vim li cas: Tsis muaj "tier-1" tso tawm zoo li CPI lossis Fed kev txiav txim siab, tab sis Tuam Tshoj tus credit rebound, Teb Chaws Asmeskas kev cia siab nyiaj txiag, Thiab zog/khoom hloov tshiab muab ntau tus neeg tsav tsheb rau kev pheej hmoo siab, kev lag luam khoom muag, thiab FX.
