Thomas Daniels
Bitcoin tau ntsib ib qho kev cuam tshuam tseem ceeb rau lub lim tiam no, nrog rau cov lus teb hauv kev lag luam raws li Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve qhov kev taw qhia tus nqi tshiab thiab kev hloov pauv tseem ceeb hauv lub koom haum kev xav. Thawj thawj zaug txij li lub Tsib Hlis lig, Coinbase Premium Index-ib qho tseem ceeb barometer ntawm US-raws li qhov xav tau- tau hloov tsis zoo.
Qhov kev thim rov qab no yog qhov kawg ntawm 62-hnub ncab thaum lub sijhawm Coinbase's BTC / USD tsis tu ncua hloov pauv ntawm tus nqi rau Binance's BTC / USDT, qhia txog kev noj qab haus huv ntawm lub koom haum. Qhov kev hloov pauv yog qhov tshwj xeeb tshaj yog thaum nws los txog ntawm qhov ntev dua 94-hnub khiav ntawm cov qib siab zoo, qhov ntev tshaj plaws ntawm cov ntaub ntawv thiab ib lub sijhawm uas tau pom dav dav raws li qhov qhia tau hais tias tsis tau muaj dhau los ntawm lub koom haum.
Cov ntaub ntawv kev lag luam qhia tias tus neeg yuav khoom / muag piv tau tam sim no poob rau 0.9, qhia txog qhov tsis txaus ntseeg loj zuj zus mus rau kev muag khoom - tshwj xeeb ntawm cov neeg tsim khoom lag luam. Txawm li cas los xij, txawm tias nce muag siab, Bitcoin tseem ua lag luam ruaj khov siab dua $ 115,000, tawm tswv yim tias cov neeg ua si loj dua tau nqus dej ntau dua li rov qab.
Lub caij no, cov nyiaj qiv nyiaj yav tom ntej tseem nyob nruab nrab ntawm 0.01, qhia txog qhov sib npaug sib npaug sib npaug ntawm cov bulls thiab bears. Lub cumulative ntim delta (CVD), uas taug qab net muas lossis muag hauv kev lag luam derivatives, tseem tsis zoo tab sis tseem tsis tau ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam loj hauv nqe nqi. Qhov sib txawv ntawm qhov ntim thiab tus nqi no qhia tias muaj zog zais hauv qab ntawm qhov chaw.
Los ntawm kev coj tus cwj pwm, kev noj nyiaj txiag kuj zoo li poob lub zog. Metrics xws li Net Realized Profit/lossis (NRPL) qhia tsis muaj pov thawj ntawm kev tawm mus thoob plaws, thaum Kho SOPR tseem zoo hauv qab 1.10 qhov pib ua keeb kwm cuam tshuam nrog kev lag luam saum. Qhov no qhia tias cov tub ua lag luam khaws kev ntseeg siab hauv cov qauv kev lag luam.
Cov ntsuas macroeconomic dav dua qiv nyiaj txhawb ntxiv rau cov khoom muaj nqis. Hnub Tuesday JOLTS cov ntaub ntawv tuaj nyob rau hauv me ntsis hauv qab qhov kev cia siab, hinting ntawm lub peev xwm softening nyob rau hauv kev ua lag luam kev ua lag luam uas yuav ntxiv dag zog rau rooj plaub rau kev cai lij choj nyiaj txiag txoj cai. Ib txhij, cov neeg siv khoom ntseeg siab tau pom cov cim ntawm kev rov qab los tom qab rau lub hlis sib law liag ntawm kev poob qis.
Technical indicators, As taw tes rau qhov tseem ceeb juncture tom ntej. Bollinger Bands ntawm Bitcoin daim ntawv qhia txhua hnub yog compressing mus rau theem feem ntau ua ntej volatility. Cov txheeb ze zog Index (RSI) nyeem kuj tseem nruj. Raws li tus tub luam Titan ntawm Crypto tau sau tseg, "Bitcoin yog nyob rau hauv lub siab cooker. Bollinger Bands yog squeezing, thiab RSI yog compressing. Ib tug loj txav yog brewing."
Nrog rau Thawj Tswj Hwm Qhib Kev Lag Luam (FOMC) lub rooj sib tham tom ntej, kev lag luam yog nyob ntawm ntug. Txawm hais tias qhov kev txav mus tom ntej yog kev tawg lossis tawg, tag nrho cov cim taw qhia rau kev hloov pauv ntawm lub qab ntug.
