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Koom nrog WhatsApp channel| Sijhawm (GMT+0/UTC+0) | State | tseem ceeb | Cov kev tshwm sim | forecast | Previous |
| 00:30 |  | 2 cov ntsiab lus | Trade Balance (Sep) | 5.240B | 5.644B |
| 01:30 | | 2 cov ntsiab lus | Kev pom zoo hauv tsev (MoM) | 4.4% | -3.9% |
| 03:00 |  | 2 cov ntsiab lus | Exports (YOY) (Kaum Ib Hlis) | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| 03:00 | | 2 cov ntsiab lus | Ntshuam (YoY) (Oct) | -1.5% | 0.3% |
| 03:00 | | 2 cov ntsiab lus | Trade Balance (USD) (Lub Kaum Hli) | 73.50B | 81.71B |
| 03:35 |  | 2 cov ntsiab lus | 10-Xyoo JGB Auction | --- | 0.871% |
| 08:10 |  | 2 cov ntsiab lus | ECB's Schnabel Hais lus | --- | --- |
| 10:45 | | 2 cov ntsiab lus | ECB Tus Txwj Laug Hais Lus | --- | --- |
| 13:30 |  | 2 cov ntsiab lus | Txuas ntxiv cov ntawv thov tsis muaj haujlwm | 1,880K | 1,862K |
| 13:30 | | 3 cov ntsiab lus | Cov Ua Haujlwm Cov Neeg Ua Haujlwm Ua Ntej | 223K | 216K |
| 13:30 | | 2 cov ntsiab lus | Nonfarm Productivity (QoQ) (Q3) | 2.6% | 2.5% |
| 13:30 | | 2 cov ntsiab lus | Unit nqi zog (QoQ) (Q3) | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 13:30 | | 2 cov ntsiab lus | ECB's Txoj Kev Hais Lus | --- | --- |
| 15:00 | | 2 cov ntsiab lus | Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Sep) | 0.1% | 0.5% |
| 18:00 | | 2 cov ntsiab lus | Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4) | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| 19:00 | | 3 cov ntsiab lus | FOMC Cov Lus Qhia | --- | --- |
| 19:00 | | 3 cov ntsiab lus | Kev Txiav Txim Siab Los Ntawm Tsoom Fwv Kev Txiav Txim Siab | 4.75% | 5.00% |
| 19:30 | | 3 cov ntsiab lus | FOMC Xov Xwm Sib Tham | --- | --- |
| 20:00 | | 2 cov ntsiab lus | Consumer Credit (Sep) | 12.20B | 8.93B |
| 21:30 | | 2 cov ntsiab lus | Fed's Balance Sheet | --- | 7,013B |
| 23:30 | | 2 cov ntsiab lus | Kev siv nyiaj hauv tsev (MoM) (Sep) | -0.7% | 2.0% |
| 23:30 | | 2 cov ntsiab lus | Kev siv nyiaj hauv tsev (YoY) (Sep) | -1.8% | -1.9% |
Cov ntsiab lus ntawm Cov Txheej Txheem Kev Lag Luam Yav Tom Ntej thaum Lub Kaum Ib Hlis 7, 2024
- Australia Trade Balance (Sep) (00:30 UTC):
Taug qab qhov sib txawv ntawm kev xa tawm thiab xa tawm. Kev kwv yees: A $ 5.240B, Yav dhau los: A $ 5.644B. Ib qho kev nqaim dua yuav qhia tias kev ua lag luam qeeb qeeb, uas muaj peev xwm hnyav rau AUD. - Australia Lub Tsev Pom Zoo (MoM) (00:30 UTC):
Kev ntsuas kev hloov pauv ntawm cov ntawv tso cai hauv tsev. Kev kwv yees: 4.4%, Yav dhau los: -3.9%. Ib qho kev nce ntxiv qhia lub zog hauv kev tsim kho, txhawb nqa AUD. - Tuam Tshoj Exports & Ntshuam (YoY) (Oct) (03:00 UTC):
Exports Forecast: 5.0%, Yav dhau los: 2.4%. Ntshuam Forecast: -1.5%, Yav dhau los: 0.3%. Kev xa tawm muaj zog qhia tau hais tias muaj kev xav tau sab nraud, thaum cov khoom lag luam tsis muaj zog qhia tias softer domestic noj. - Tuam Tshoj Trade Balance (USD) (Lub Kaum Hli) (03: 00 UTC):
Ntsuas qhov sib txawv ntawm kev xa tawm thiab xa tawm hauv USD. Huab cua: $73.50B, Yav dhau los: $81.71B. Qhov nyiaj seem loj dua yuav txhawb nqa CNY los ntawm kev qhia txog kev lag luam muaj zog. - Nyiv 10-Year JGB Auction (03:35 UTC):
Taug qab kev thov rau 10-xyoo Japanese tsoom fwv daim ntawv cog lus. Cov txiaj ntsig siab dua qhia tau hais tias qhov kev thov rau cov nyiaj tau los ntau dua, muaj feem cuam tshuam rau JPY. - ECB's Schnabel thiab Txwj Laug Hais Lus (08:10 & 10:45 UTC):
Kev hais lus los ntawm ECB cov thawj coj Isabel Schnabel thiab Frank Elderson tuaj yeem muab kev nkag siab rau Eurozone qhov kev xav txog nyiaj txiag, cuam tshuam rau EUR. - US Continuing & Initial Jobless Claims (13:30 UTC):
Taug qab cov ntaub ntawv nyiaj poob haujlwm. Thawj qhov kev thov Forecast: 223K, Yav dhau los: 216K. Cov ntawv thov siab dua qhia tias kev ua lag luam muag muag, muaj feem cuam tshuam rau USD. - US Nonfarm Productivity & Unit Labor Costs (QoQ) (Q3) (13:30 UTC):
Productivity Forecast: 2.6%, Yav dhau los: 2.5%. Kev loj hlob ntawm cov khoom lag luam siab dua yuav txhawb nqa kev lag luam, thaum nce nqi zog ua haujlwm (Kev kwv yees: 1.1%) teeb liab muaj peev xwm ua haujlwm siab. - US Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Sep) (15:00 UTC):
Kev ntsuas kev hloov pauv hauv cov khw muag khoom, tsis suav nrog tsheb. Kev kwv yees: 0.1%, Yav dhau los: 0.5%. Kev nce hauv cov khoom lag luam qhia tias muaj peev xwm tsis muaj zog hauv cov neeg siv khoom xav tau. - Teb Chaws Asmeskas FOMC Nqe Lus Qhia & Kev Txiav Txim Siab (19: 00 UTC):
Kev kwv yees tus nqi: 4.75%, Yav dhau los: 5.00%. Ib qho kev sib txawv yuav cuam tshuam rau USD loj heev. Daim ntawv tshaj tawm thiab kev txiav txim siab tus nqi yuav cuam tshuam cov kev cia siab rau yav tom ntej txoj cai coj. - FOMC Xovxwm Sib Tham (19:30 UTC):
Fed Chair cov lus hais thaum lub rooj sib tham xov xwm yuav muab cov ntsiab lus ntxiv rau kev txiav txim siab tus nqi, cuam tshuam kev lag luam kev cia siab rau kev nce nqi thiab kev loj hlob. - US Consumer Credit (Sep) (20:00 UTC):
Ntsuas qhov hloov pauv txhua hli hauv cov neeg siv khoom siv credit. Kev kwv yees: $ 12.20B, Yav dhau los: $ 8.93B. Kev siv credit nce ntxiv qhia txog kev siv nyiaj ntau dua rau cov neeg siv khoom, txhawb nqa USD. - Nyiv Tsev Neeg Siv Nyiaj (YoY & MoM) (Sep) (23:30 UTC):
Ntsuas cov neeg siv khoom siv nyiaj hauv Nyij Pooj. YoY Huab Cua: -1.8%, Yav dhau los: -1.9%. Kev siv nyiaj poob qis qhia tias qhov kev xav tau hauv tsev tsis muaj zog, muaj peev xwm hnyav rau JPY.
Kev Tshawb Fawb Txog Kev Ua Lag Luam
- Australia Trade Balance & Building Approvals:
Kev pom zoo hauv tsev muaj zog yuav txhawb nqa AUD, qhia txog kev muaj peev xwm nyob hauv vaj tse. Ib qho kev lag luam me me, txawm li cas los xij, yuav qhia tias kev lag luam xa tawm tsis muaj zog, uas muaj peev xwm hnyav rau cov txiaj. - Tuam Tshoj Trade Data:
Kev xa tawm nce ntxiv qhia tias qhov kev xav tau thoob ntiaj teb muaj zog dua, txhawb kev pheej hmoo ntawm cov khoom muaj nqis, thaum cov khoom lag luam poob qis yuav qhia tias kev xav tau hauv tsev tsis muaj zog, muaj feem cuam tshuam rau cov khoom lag luam thiab cov txiaj ntsig kev pheej hmoo. - US Jobless Claims & Labor Costs:
Kev thov nyiaj tsis ua hauj lwm lossis cov nqi zog ua haujlwm yuav ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam hauv kev ua lag luam ua lag luam thiab nce nyiaj ua haujlwm, uas tuaj yeem cuam tshuam rau Fed txoj cai stance. - FOMC Cov Lus Qhia, Kev Txiav Txim Siab, & Xov Xwm Sib Tham:
Yog tias Fed tswj hwm tus nqi lossis taw qhia ntau dua dovish, qhov no tuaj yeem hnyav rau USD. Lub suab nrov hawkish lossis tus nqi nce siab yuav txhawb nqa USD, hais txog kev tswj hwm nyiaj txiag. - Kev siv nyiaj hauv tsev neeg Nyij Pooj:
Kev siv nyiaj poob qis qhia txog kev ntseeg siab ntawm cov neeg siv khoom tsis muaj zog, uas tuaj yeem ua rau JPY softening raws li nws qhia tias muaj kev cuam tshuam nyiaj txiag tsawg.
Zuag qhia tag nrho
Volatility:
Siab, nrog cov ntsiab lus tseem ceeb ntawm FOMC nqe lus, tus nqi txiav txim siab, thiab kev sib tham xov xwm. Australia cov ntaub ntawv luam tawm, Tuam Tshoj cov ntaub ntawv luam tawm, thiab kev ntsuas tus nqi ua haujlwm hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas tseem yuav ua rau muaj kev xav hauv kev lag luam, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog hais txog kev cia siab rau kev loj hlob.
Impact Score: 8/10, raws li lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab cov lus qhia los ntawm Fed thiab cov ntaub ntawv ua lag luam ua lag luam yuav ua rau cov kev cia siab luv luv rau kev nce nqi, kev loj hlob, thiab nyiaj txiag txoj cai thoob plaws kev lag luam loj.
