Cryptocurrency analytics thiab forecastsCov xwm txheej kev lag luam yuav los tom ntej 31 Lub Kaum Hli 2024

Cov xwm txheej kev lag luam yuav los tom ntej 31 Lub Kaum Hli 2024

Sijhawm (GMT+0/UTC+0)Statetseem ceebCov kev tshwm simforecastPrevious
01:30๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ2 cov ntsiab lusKev Muag Khoom Muag (MoM) (Sep)0.3%0.7%
01:30๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ ib2 cov ntsiab lusSuav Composite PMI (Oct)---50.4
01:30๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ ib3 cov ntsiab lusManufacturing PMI (Oct)50.049.8
01:30๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ ib2 cov ntsiab lusNon-Manufacturing PMI (Lub Kaum Hli)50.550.0
02:30๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต2 cov ntsiab lusBoJ Monetary Policy Statement------
03:00๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต2 cov ntsiab lusBoJ Outlook Report (YoY) ------
03:00๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต3 cov ntsiab lusKev txiav txim siab paj laum BoJ0.25%0.25%
06:30๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต2 cov ntsiab lusBoJ Xovxwm Sib Tham------
09:00Kuv hlub koj2 cov ntsiab lusECB Economic Bulletin------
10:00Kuv hlub koj2 cov ntsiab lusCore CPI (YoY) (Oct)2.6%2.7%
10:00Kuv hlub koj2 cov ntsiab lusCPI (MoM) (Oct)----0.1%
10:00Kuv hlub koj3 cov ntsiab lusCPI (YOY) (Oct)1.9%1.7%
10:00Kuv hlub koj2 cov ntsiab lusTus nqi poob haujlwm (Sep)6.4%6.4%
12:30๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ2 cov ntsiab lusTxuas ntxiv cov ntawv thov tsis muaj haujlwm---1,897K
12:30๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ3 cov ntsiab lusCore PCE Nqe Index (YoY) (Sep)---2.7%
12:30๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ3 cov ntsiab lusCore PCE Nqe Index (MoM) (Sep)0.3%0.1%
12:30๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ2 cov ntsiab lusTus Nqi Ua Haujlwm (QoQ) (Q3)0.9%0.9%
12:30๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ3 cov ntsiab lusCov Ua Haujlwm Cov Neeg Ua Haujlwm Ua Ntej231K227K
12:30๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ2 cov ntsiab lusPCE Nqe Index (YoY) (Sep)---2.2%
12:30๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ2 cov ntsiab lusPCE tus nqi ntsuas (MoM) (Sep)---0.1%
12:30๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ2 cov ntsiab lusKev Siv Tus Kheej (MoM) (Sep)0.4%0.2%
13:45๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ3 cov ntsiab lusChicago PMI (Oct)47.146.6
20:30๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ2 cov ntsiab lusFed's Balance Sheet---7,029B

Cov ntsiab lus ntawm Cov Txheej Txheem Kev Lag Luam yuav los tom ntej rau Lub Kaum Hli 31, 2024

  1. Australia Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep) (01:30 UTC):
    Ntsuas cov kev hloov pauv txhua hli hauv kev muag khoom muag, qhov taw qhia tseem ceeb ntawm cov neeg siv khoom siv. Kev kwv yees: 0.3%, Yav dhau los: 0.7%. Kev muag qis dua yuav qhia cov neeg siv khoom xav tau qis dua, uas muaj peev xwm hnyav rau AUD.
  2. Tuam Tshoj Composite PMI (Kaum Ib Hlis) (01: 30 UTC):
    Taug qab tag nrho kev lag luam kev ua lag luam hauv Suav teb, sib txuas cov kev tsim khoom thiab cov khoom tsis yog kev tsim khoom. Tom ntej: 50.4. Kev nyeem ntawv siab dua 50 qhia txog kev nthuav dav.
  3. Tuam Tshoj Manufacturing PMI (Kaum Ib Hlis) (01: 30 UTC):
    Taug qab kev noj qab haus huv ntawm Tuam Tshoj txoj kev tsim khoom lag luam. Huab cua: 50.0, Yav dhau los: 49.8. Kev nyeem ntawv ntawm lossis siab dua 50 lub cim nthuav dav.
  4. Tuam Tshoj Non-Manufacturing PMI (Kaum Ib Hlis) (01: 30 UTC):
    Kev ntsuas kev ua haujlwm hauv Suav teb cov kev pabcuam thiab kev tsim kho. Huab cua: 50.5, Yav dhau los: 50.0. Tshaj 50 qhia tias kev loj hlob.
  5. BoJ Monetary Policy Statement (02:30 UTC):
    Muab kev nkag siab rau hauv Bank of Nyiv lub stance ntawm txoj cai nyiaj txiag, suav nrog txhua qhov kev hloov pauv tus nqi.
  6. BoJ Outlook Report (03:00 UTC)
    BoJ qhov kev xav txog kev lag luam peb lub hlis twg, uas suav nrog kev nce nqi thiab kev loj hlob. Nws tau nyob ze rau kev nkag siab txog BoJ txoj kev coj ua yav tom ntej.
  7. Kev txiav txim siab paj laum BoJ (03:00 UTC):
    Tus nqi siab: 0.25%. Tsis muaj kev hloov pauv tau npaj tseg, tab sis kev sib txawv yuav cuam tshuam rau JPY.
  8. ECB Economic Bulletin (09:00 UTC):
    Muab kev nkag siab txog kev txhim kho kev lag luam hauv Eurozone, coj kev cia siab rau yav tom ntej ECB.
  9. Eurozone Core CPI (YoY) (Oct) (10:00 UTC):
    Tsis suav cov nqi khoom noj thiab lub zog. Kev kwv yees: 2.6%, Yav dhau los: 2.7%. Kev nce nqi qis dua tuaj yeem yooj yim dua rau ECB kom nruj ntxiv.
  10. Eurozone CPI (YoY) (Kaum Hli) (10:00 UTC):
    Tracks tag nrho cov neeg siv khoom nce nqi. Kev kwv yees: 1.9%, Yav dhau los: 1.7%. CPI siab dua yuav qhia tias muaj kev nce nqi ntxiv.
  11. Eurozone Unemployment Rate (Sep) (10:00 UTC):
    Ntsuas qhov feem pua โ€‹โ€‹โ€‹โ€‹ntawm cov neeg ua haujlwm uas poob haujlwm. Kev kwv yees: 6.4%, Yav dhau los: 6.4%.
  12. US Core PCE Nqe Index (YoY) (Sep) (12:30 UTC):
    Kev ntsuas nyiaj txiag tseem ceeb siv los ntawm Fed. Tom ntej: 2.7%. Kev nyeem ntawv siab dua yuav ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam nyiaj txiag.
  13. US Employment Cost Index (QoQ) (Q3) (12:30 UTC):
    Ntsuas cov nqi zog hloov pauv. Kev kwv yees: 0.9%, Yav dhau los: 0.9%. Tus nqi nce tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev nce nqi ntxiv.
  14. US Initial Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC):
    Taug qab cov ntaub ntawv txhua lub limtiam rau cov nyiaj poob haujlwm. Huab cua: 231K, Yav dhau los: 227K. Kev thov nce ntxiv tuaj yeem qhia txog kev ua lag luam muag muag muag.
  15. US Kev Siv Tus Kheej (MoM) (Sep) (12:30 UTC):
    Kev kwv yees: 0.4%, Yav dhau los: 0.2%. Ib qho kev nce ntxiv yuav qhia txog kev siv nyiaj txiag muaj zog, txhawb nqa USD.
  16. Chicago PMI (Lub Ob Hlis 13: 45 UTC):
    Ib qho qhia txog kev ua lag luam hauv cheeb tsam Chicago. Huab cua: 47.1, Yav dhau los: 46.6. Hauv qab 50 teeb liab contraction.
  17. Fed's Balance Sheet (20:30 UTC):
    Hloov tshiab txhua lub lim tiam ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve cov cuab tam thiab kev lav phib xaub. Tom ntej: $7,029B.

Kev Tshawb Fawb Txog Kev Ua Lag Luam

  • Australia Retail Muag:
    Kev muag khoom muag tsis muaj zog yuav qhia tias kev siv nyiaj tsawg ntawm cov neeg siv khoom lag luam, yuav ua rau AUD muag muag. Kev loj hlob muaj zog tshaj qhov kev cia siab yuav txhawb nqa cov txiaj ntsig.
  • Tuam Tshoj PMI data:
    Kev nyeem ntawv siab dua 50 rau kev tsim khoom thiab tsis tsim PMIs yuav qhia txog kev loj hlob, uas yuav txhawb nqa cov khoom lag luam thiab cov txiaj ntsig kev pheej hmoo. PMIs tsis muaj zog tuaj yeem cuam tshuam kev xav thoob ntiaj teb.
  • BoJ Monetary Policy thiab Outlook Report:
    Ib qho kev hloov pauv tsis txaus ntseeg mus rau kev nruj yuav ntxiv dag zog rau JPY, thaum lub sijhawm txuas ntxiv dovish yuav hnyav rau nws.
  • Eurozone CPI thiab Core CPI (YoY):
    Cov nuj nqis siab tshaj qhov kev cia siab yuav txhawb nqa EUR los ntawm kev ua kom muaj feem cuam tshuam ECB ntxiv, thaum cov nuj nqis qis dua tuaj yeem ua rau cov txiaj ntsig zoo.
  • US Core PCE Nqe Index & Kev Ua Haujlwm Tus Nqi Ua Haujlwm:
    Kev nyeem ntawv siab dua rau cov tub ntxhais kawm PCE lossis cov nqi ua haujlwm yuav qhia tias muaj nyiaj txiag tsis tu ncua, txhawb nqa USD thiab muaj peev xwm ua rau Fed nruj dua.
  • US Initial Jobless Claims & Kev siv tus kheej:
    Cov ntawv thov tsis muaj haujlwm qis dua qhia txog kev ua lag luam kev ua haujlwm, txhawb nqa USD. Kev siv tus kheej nce ntxiv kuj tseem yuav txhawb nqa USD los ntawm kev taw qhia cov neeg siv khoom xav tau.
  • Chicago PMI:
    Kev nyeem ntawv qis dua 50 yuav qhia txog kev lag luam kev lag luam, uas muaj peev xwm hnyav ntawm USD.

Zuag qhia tag nrho

Volatility:
Siab, tau tsav los ntawm kev nce nqi tseem ceeb thiab cov ntaub ntawv kev ua haujlwm los ntawm Asmeskas, nrog rau cov ntaub ntawv hauv tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab thiab CPI cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Eurozone thiab Nyiv. Cov xwm txheej no yuav cuam tshuam kev cia siab rau kev loj hlob thoob ntiaj teb thiab txoj cai nyiaj txiag.

Impact Score: 8/10, vim qhov ntsuas tseem ceeb ntawm kev lag luam los ntawm ntau qhov kev lag luam loj uas yuav ua rau muaj kev cia siab rau kev nce nyiaj txiag thiab kev hloov pauv hauv central bank.

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