Cov xwm txheej kev lag luam yuav los tom ntej 30 Lub Kaum Hli 2024

Sijhawm (GMT+0/UTC+0)	State	tseem ceeb	Cov kev tshwm sim	forecast	Previous
00:30		2 cov ntsiab lus	CPI (YoY) (Q3)	2.3%	3.8%
00:30		2 cov ntsiab lus	CPI (QoQ) (Q3)	0.3%	1.0%
00:30		2 cov ntsiab lus	Trimmed Mean CPI (QoQ) (Q3)	0.7%	0.8%
10:00		2 cov ntsiab lus	PIB (YoY) (Q3)	0.8%	0.6%
10:00		2 cov ntsiab lus	PIB (QoQ)	0.2%	0.2%
12:15		3 cov ntsiab lus	ADP Kev Hloov Kev Ua Haujlwm Tsis Ua Haujlwm (Lub Kaum Hli)	101K	143K
12:30		2 cov ntsiab lus	Core PCE Nqe (Q3)	---	2.80%
12:30		3 cov ntsiab lus	PIB (QoQ)	3.0%	3.0%
12:30		2 cov ntsiab lus	PIB Price Index (QoQ) (Q3)	2.0%	2.5%
14:00		2 cov ntsiab lus	Pending Tsev Muag (MoM) (Sep)	0.9%	0.6%
14:30		3 cov ntsiab lus	Crude Roj Inventories	---	5.474M
14:30		2 cov ntsiab lus	Cushing Crude Oil Inventories	---	-0.346M
15:00		2 cov ntsiab lus	ECB's Schnabel Hais lus	---	---
23:50		2 cov ntsiab lus	Kev tsim khoom lag luam (MoM) (Sep)	0.9%	-3.3%

Cov ntsiab lus ntawm Cov Txheej Txheem Kev Lag Luam yuav los tom ntej rau Lub Kaum Hli 30, 2024

1. Australia CPI (YoY) (Q3) (00:30 UTC):
   Taug qab kev nce nqi txhua xyoo. Kev kwv yees: 2.3%, Yav dhau los: 3.8%. Tus nqi qis dua yuav qhia txog kev txo tus nqi siab, uas cuam tshuam rau RBA tus nqi txiav txim siab.
2. Australia CPI (QoQ) (Q3) (00:30 UTC):
   Ntsuas kev hloov pauv peb lub hlis twg ntawm cov neeg siv khoom tus nqi. Kev kwv yees: 0.3%, Yav dhau los: 1.0%. Kev nce nqi qeeb qeeb tuaj yeem txo qhov siab ntawm RBA kom nruj ntxiv.
3. Australia Trimmed Mean CPI (QoQ) (Q3) (00:30 UTC):
   RBA qhov kev ntsuas nyiam ntawm kev nce nqi tseem ceeb. Kev kwv yees: 0.7%, Yav dhau los: 0.8%. Ib qho kev nyeem qis qhia tau hais tias kev nce nqi qis dua, txhawb nqa qhov kev xav ntawm dovish.
4. Eurozone GDP (YoY) (Q3) (10:00 UTC)
   Kev loj hlob txhua xyoo hauv Eurozone GDP. Kev kwv yees: 0.8%, Yav dhau los: 0.6%. Kev loj hlob siab tshaj qhov kev cia siab yuav ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam kev lag luam, txhawb nqa EUR.
5. Eurozone GDP (QoQ) (Q3) (10:00 UTC)
   Kev loj hlob ntawm peb lub hlis twg hauv Eurozone kev lag luam. Kev kwv yees: 0.2%, Yav dhau los: 0.2%. Kev loj hlob ruaj khov yuav qhia txog kev ua lag luam me me.
6. US ADP Kev Hloov Ua Haujlwm Tsis Ua Haujlwm (Lub Kaum Hli) (12: 15 UTC):
   Kev hloov pauv ntawm kev ua haujlwm ntiag tug. Huab cua: 101K, Yav dhau los: 143K. Kev loj hlob ntawm kev ua haujlwm qis dua yuav qhia txog kev ua lag luam ua haujlwm txias, uas tuaj yeem cuam tshuam rau Fed tus nqi kwv yees.
7. US Core PCE Nqe (Q3) (12:30 UTC):
   Taug qab cov kev hloov pauv hauv qhov tseem ceeb ntawm tus kheej kev siv nyiaj txiag index. Yav dhau los: 2.8%. Core PCE yog qhov ntsuas kev nce nqi tseem ceeb tau saib los ntawm Fed.
8. PIB US (QoQ) (Q3) (12:30 UTC):
   Ntsuas kev loj hlob peb lub hlis twg hauv Asmeskas kev lag luam. Kev kwv yees: 3.0%, Yav dhau los: 3.0%. Kev loj hlob ntawm GDP muaj zog yuav txhawb kev cia siab rau kev lag luam muaj zog.
9. US GDP Nqe Index (QoQ) (Q3) (12:30 UTC):
   Ntsuas kev nce nqi hauv GDP daim ntawv tshaj tawm. Kev kwv yees: 2.0%, Yav dhau los: 2.5%. Tus nqi qis dua yuav txo qhov kev txhawj xeeb ntawm overheating hauv kev lag luam.
10. US Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Sep) (14:00 UTC):
    Kev ntsuas lub hli dhau ib hlis ntawm kev muag khoom hauv tsev. Kev kwv yees: 0.9%, Yav dhau los: 0.6%. Kev nce ntxiv yuav qhia txog kev ua lag luam vaj tsev muaj zog.
11. US Crude Oil Inventories (14:30 UTC):
    Taug qab cov kev hloov pauv txhua lub lim tiam hauv Asmeskas cov khoom lag luam crude. Tom ntej: 5.474M. Ib qho kev tsim hauv cov khoom lag luam qhia tias qhov kev xav tau qis dua, thaum qhov kev poob qis qhia tias xav tau muaj zog dua.
12. Cushing Crude Oil Inventories (14:30 UTC):
    Ntsuas cov roj cia ntawm Cushing, Oklahoma. Yav dhau los: -0.346M. Cov kev hloov ntawm no tuaj yeem cuam tshuam rau US cov nqi roj av.
13. ECB's Schnabel Hais Lus (15: 00 UTC):
    ECB Pawg Thawj Coj Tus Tswv Cuab Isabel Schnabel tuaj yeem muab kev nkag siab rau ECB cov kev xav txog kev nce nqi thiab nyiaj txiag txoj cai.
14. Nyiv Industrial Production (MoM) (Sep) (23:50 UTC):
    Kev ntsuas txhua hli hloov hauv cov khoom tsim tawm. Kev kwv yees: 0.9%, Yav dhau los: -3.3%. Kev loj hlob hauv kev tsim khoom yuav qhia txog kev rov qab los hauv Nyij Pooj kev tsim khoom lag luam.

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Kev Tshawb Fawb Txog Kev Ua Lag Luam

• Australia CPI Cov Ntaub Ntawv (YoY, QoQ, Trimmed Mean):
  Kev nce nqi qis dua li qhov kev cia siab yuav txhawb nqa lub zog dovish los ntawm RBA, uas tuaj yeem ua rau AUD tsis muaj zog. Cov nuj nqis siab dua yuav nce siab rau RBA kom nruj, txhawb nqa AUD.
• Eurozone GDP Data (YoY thiab QoQ):
  Kev loj hlob ntawm GDP siab tshaj qhov kev cia siab yuav txhawb nqa EUR, qhia txog kev lag luam muaj zog. Kev loj hlob tsis muaj zog tuaj yeem hnyav rau EUR vim nws qhia tias kev lag luam qeeb qeeb.
• US ADP Nonfarm Kev Hloov Ua Haujlwm:
  Ib qho kev poob qis hauv kev tsim txoj haujlwm tuaj yeem qhia txog kev ua lag luam tsis muaj zog, uas tuaj yeem ua rau USD muag vim nws qhia tias Fed tus nqi nce qis dua. Kev loj hlob ntawm kev ua haujlwm muaj zog yuav txhawb nqa USD.
• US Core PCE Nqe thiab GDP Cov Ntaub Ntawv:
  Cov tub ntxhais tseem ceeb PCE thiab GDP kev loj hlob yuav txhawb nqa USD, cuam tshuam txog kev lag luam kev lag luam thiab kev kub ntxhov siab. Cov nuj nqis qis dua yuav txo qis qhov yuav tshwm sim ntawm Fed tus nqi nce ntxiv, uas tuaj yeem ua rau USD tsis muaj zog.
• US Crude Oil Inventories:
  Qhov loj tshaj qhov kev cia siab tsim nyob rau hauv cov khoom muag roj yuav qhia tias qhov kev thov tsis muaj zog, uas yuav ua rau txo qis rau cov nqi roj. Ib tug drawdown yuav qhia kom muaj zog thov, txhawb tus nqi.
• Nyiv Industrial Production:
  Kev loj hlob zoo hauv kev tsim khoom lag luam yuav txhawb nqa JPY los ntawm kev qhia txog kev rov qab los ntawm Nyiv kev tsim khoom lag luam, thaum cov ntaub ntawv tsis muaj zog tuaj yeem hnyav ntawm cov txiaj.

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Zuag qhia tag nrho

Volatility:
Siab, nrog rau kev tsom mus rau cov ntaub ntawv nyiaj txiag los ntawm Australia, GDP cov nuj nqis los ntawm Eurozone thiab US, thiab US cov ntaub ntawv kev ua haujlwm. Kev lag luam hluav taws xob kuj tseem ceeb rau cov khoom muag hloov pauv.

Impact Score: 8/10, vim yog cov ntaub ntawv tseem ceeb tshaj tawm uas yuav ua rau lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab txoj cai kev cia siab thiab kev lag luam kev xav ntawm kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam thiab kev nce nqi thoob plaws kev lag luam loj.