Jeremy Oles

Published On: 26/09/2024
Qhia rau nws!
Cov xwm txheej yuav tshwm sim tom ntej 27 Cuaj hlis 2024
By Published On: 26/09/2024
Sijhawm (GMT+0/UTC+0)Statetseem ceebCov kev tshwm simforecastPrevious
01:30🇦🇺2 cov ntsiab lusRBA Kev Ntsuam Xyuas Kev Nyuaj Siab------
08:15Kuv hlub koj2 cov ntsiab lusECB's Txoj Kev Hais Lus------
12:30🇺🇸3 cov ntsiab lusCore PCE Nqe Index (MoM) (Aug)0.2%0.2%
12:30🇺🇸3 cov ntsiab lusCore PCE Nqe Index (YoY) (Aug)---2.6%
12:30🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusCov khoom lag luam sib npaug (Aug)-100.20B-102.66B
12:30🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusPCE Nqe Index (YoY) (Aug)---2.5%
12:30🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusPCE nqi index (MoM) (Aug)---0.2%
12:30🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusKev siv tus kheej (MoM) (Aug)0.3%0.5%
12:30🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusRetail Inventories Ex Auto (Aug)---0.5%
14:00🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusMichigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations (Sep)2.7%2.8%
14:00🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusMichigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations (Sep)3.1%3.0%
14:00🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusMichigan Consumer Expectations (Sep)73.072.1
14:00🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusMichigan Consumer Sentiment (Sep)69.467.9
14:30🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusAtlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3)2.9%2.9%
17:00🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusUS Baker Hughes Roj Rig suav---488
17:00🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusUS Baker Hughes Total Rig suav---588
17:15🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusFOMC Tus Tswv Cuab Bowman Hais Lus------
19:30🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusCFTC Crude Oil speculative net txoj haujlwm---145.3K
19:30🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusCFTC Kub speculative net txoj haujlwm---310.1K
19:30🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusCFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net txoj haujlwm---19.2K
19:30🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusCFTC S&P 500 speculative net txoj haujlwm----122.9K
19:30🇦🇺2 cov ntsiab lusCFTC AUD speculative net positions----40.1K
19:30🇯🇵2 cov ntsiab lusCFTC JPY speculative net txoj haujlwm---56.8K
19:30Kuv hlub koj2 cov ntsiab lusCFTC EUR speculative net txoj haujlwm---69.6K

Cov ntsiab lus ntawm Cov Txheej Txheem Kev Lag Luam Yav Tom Ntej rau Lub Cuaj Hli 27, 2024

  1. RBA Financial Stability Review (01:30 UTC): Lub Reserve Bank of Australia daim ntawv tshaj tawm ib nrab xyoo ntsuas kev pheej hmoo rau cov nyiaj txiag. Nws tuaj yeem cuam tshuam rau AUD nyob ntawm kev txhawj xeeb txog kev lag luam lossis kev lag luam hauv tuam txhab.
  2. ECB's Txoj Kev Hais Lus (08: 15 UTC): Cov lus ceeb toom los ntawm ECB Tus Thawj Saib Xyuas Nyiaj Txiag Philip Lane, muab kev nkag siab rau Eurozone qhov kev xav txog kev lag luam lossis kev nce nyiaj txiag.
  3. US Core PCE Nqe Index (MoM) (Aug) (12:30 UTC): Ib qho kev ntsuas nyiaj txiag tseem ceeb siv los ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve. Kev kwv yees: +0.2%, Yav dhau los: +0.2%.
  4. US Core PCE Nqe Index (YoY) (Aug) (12:30 UTC): Xyoo-rau-xyoo hloov pauv hauv cov nyiaj txiag tseem ceeb. Tom ntej: +2.6%.
  5. Teb Chaws Asmeskas Cov Khoom Muag Khoom Muag (Lub Yim Hli) (12: 30 UTC): Ntsuas qhov sib txawv ntawm tus nqi ntawm cov khoom xa tawm thiab cov khoom xa tuaj. Huab cua: -$100.20B, Yav dhau los: -$102.66B.
  6. US PCE Nqe Index (YoY) (Aug) (12:30 UTC): Xyoo-dhau-xyoo hloov nyob rau hauv tag nrho tus kheej Consumption Expenditures price index. Tom ntej: +2.5%.
  7. US PCE Nqe Index (MoM) (Aug) (12:30 UTC): Kev hloov pauv txhua hli hauv PCE kev nce nqi. Tom ntej: +0.2%.
  8. US Kev Siv Tus Kheej (MoM) (Lub Yim Hli) (12:30 UTC): Ntsuas qhov hloov pauv txhua hli ntawm cov neeg siv khoom siv. Kev kwv yees: +0.3%, Yav dhau los: +0.5%.
  9. US Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Aug) (12:30 UTC): Kev hloov pauv txhua hli hauv cov khoom muag khoom muag tsis suav nrog kev lag luam tsheb. Tom ntej: +0.5%.
  10. Teb Chaws Asmeskas Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations (Sep) (14:00 UTC): Cov neeg siv khoom qhov kev cia siab nyiaj txiag rau xyoo tom ntej. Kev kwv yees: 2.7%, Yav dhau los: 2.8%.
  11. Teb Chaws Asmeskas Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations (Sep) (14:00 UTC): Kev cia siab txog nyiaj txiag ntev. Kev kwv yees: 3.1%, Yav dhau los: 3.0%.
  12. US Michigan Consumer Expectations (Sep) (14:00 UTC): Ntsuas cov neeg siv khoom xav txog ntawm kev lag luam yav tom ntej. Huab cua: 73.0, Yav dhau los: 72.1.
  13. Asmeskas Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Sep) (14:00 UTC): Qhov taw qhia tseem ceeb ntawm tag nrho cov neeg siv kev xav. Huab cua: 69.4, Yav dhau los: 67.9.
  14. US Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) (14:30 UTC): Real-time kwv yees ntawm US GDP kev loj hlob rau Q3. Tom ntej: +2.9%.
  15. US Baker Hughes Roj Rig suav (17:00 UTC): Tus naj npawb ntawm cov roj rigs hauv Asmeskas. Tom ntej: 488.
  16. US Baker Hughes Tag Nrho Cov Rig suav (17:00 UTC): Tag nrho cov khoom siv rigs, suav nrog roj thiab roj. Tom ntej: 588.
  17. FOMC Tus Tswv Cuab Bowman Hais Lus (17:15 UTC): Cov lus pom los ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman, tej zaum yuav muab kev nkag siab rau hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas txoj cai nyiaj txiag.
  18. CFTC Speculative Net Positions (19:30 UTC): Cov ntaub ntawv txhua lub limtiam ntawm kev xav txog kev ua haujlwm thoob plaws ntau lub khw, qhia txog kev xav ntawm kev ua lag luam:
  • Roj Crude: Tom ntej: 145.3K
  • Kub: Tom ntej: 310.1K
  • Nasdaq 100: Tom ntej: 19.2K
  • S&P 500: Yav dhau los: -122.9K
  • AUD: Yav dhau los: -40.1K
  • JPY: Tom ntej: 56.8K
  • EUR: Tom ntej: 69.6K

Kev Tshawb Fawb Txog Kev Ua Lag Luam

  • RBA Kev Tshawb Fawb Txog Nyiaj Txiag: Txhua qhov kev txhawj xeeb txog kev ruaj ntseg nyiaj txiag yuav cuam tshuam rau AUD, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog tias daim ntawv tshaj tawm qhia txog kev pheej hmoo rau kev lag luam lossis vaj tsev.
  • US Core PCE Nqe Index & Kev Siv Tus Kheej: Cov ntaub ntawv nyiaj txiag tseem ceeb tuaj yeem tsim kev cia siab rau yav tom ntej Federal Reserve ua. Kev nce nqi siab tshaj qhov kev cia siab lossis cov ntaub ntawv siv nyiaj tuaj yeem ntxiv dag zog rau USD vim nws tuaj yeem ua teeb meem ntxiv los ntawm Fed.
  • Michigan Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations: Cov nuj nqis no muab kev nkag siab rau Asmeskas cov neeg siv khoom ntseeg siab thiab kev nce nqi nce ntxiv. Cov neeg siv khoom tsis muaj zog tuaj yeem hnyav rau USD, thaum qhov kev cia siab nyiaj txiag ruaj khov yuav txhawb nqa Fed txoj cai tam sim no.
  • CFTC Speculative Net Positions: Cov kev hloov pauv hauv txoj haujlwm speculative muab cov lus qhia txog kev lag luam kev xav. Piv txwv li, nce cov roj crude txoj hauj lwm yuav qhia tau hais tias bullishness nyob rau hauv lub zog ua lag luam, thaum hloov nyob rau hauv kub los yog kev ncaj ncees txoj hauj lwm yuav qhia tau hais tias kev hloov nyob rau hauv kev pheej hmoo qab los noj mov.

Zuag qhia tag nrho

  • Volatility: Nruab nrab, uas tau tsav los ntawm kev nce nqi tseem ceeb hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas thiab cov ntaub ntawv siv nyiaj nrog rau cov neeg siv khoom xav. Tsis tas li ntawd, cov lus hais los ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve cov tub ceev xwm tuaj yeem ntxiv rau kev lag luam txav.
  • Impact Score: 7/10, raws li cov ntaub ntawv kev nce nqi, kev xav ntawm cov neeg siv khoom, thiab kev ua lag luam yuav raug saib xyuas nyob rau hauv ntau yam khoom vaj khoom tsev.