Cov xwm txheej kev lag luam yuav los tom ntej 27 Lub Kaum Ob Hlis 2024

Sijhawm (GMT+0/UTC+0)	State	tseem ceeb	Event	forecast	Previous
13:30		2 points	Cov khoom lag luam sib npaug (Nov)	-101.30B	-98.26B
13:30		2 points	Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Nov)	----	0.1%
13:30		2 points	S&P/CS HPI Composite – 20 nsa (MoM) (Oct)	----	-0.4%
13:30		2 points	S&P/CS HPI Composite – 20 nsa (YoY) (Oct)	----	4.6%
16:00		3 points	Crude Roj Inventories	-0.700M	-0.934M
16:00		2 points	Cushing Crude Oil Inventories	----	0.108M
18:00		2 points	US Baker Hughes Roj Rig suav	----	----
18:00		2 points	US Baker Hughes Total Rig suav	----	----
20:30		2 points	CFTC Kub speculative net txoj haujlwm	----	230.0K
20:30		2 points	CFTC Kub speculative net txoj haujlwm	----	262.0K
20:30		2 points	CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net txoj haujlwm	----	36.1K
20:30		2 points	CFTC S&P 500 speculative net txoj haujlwm	----	-39.9K
20:30		2 points	CFTC AUD speculative net positions	----	-61.5K
20:30		2 points	CFTC EUR speculative net txoj haujlwm	----	6.0K
20:30		2 points	CFTC EUR speculative net txoj haujlwm	----	-65.9K

Cov ntsiab lus ntawm Cov Txheej Txheem Kev Lag Luam Yav Tom Ntej rau Lub Kaum Ob Hlis 27, 2024

1. Teb Chaws Asmeskas Cov Khoom Muag Khoom Muag (13: 30 UTC):
   • Huab cua: -101.30B, Yav dhau los: - 98.26 Ib.
     Ib qho kev lag luam dav dav qhia tias kev xa khoom ntau dua piv rau kev xa tawm, uas yuav hnyav rau USD. Ib qho kev nqaim qis yuav txhawb nqa cov txiaj, cuam tshuam kev lag luam zoo dua qub.
2. US Retail Inventories Ex Auto (13:30 UTC):
   • Yav dhau los: 0.1%.
     Muab kev nkag siab txog cov qib khoom muag thiab cov kev hloov kho ntau lawm yav tom ntej. Cov khoom lag luam nce siab tuaj yeem qhia qhov kev xav tau tsis muaj zog, thaum cov khoom lag luam poob qis qhia tias kev muag khoom zoo.
3. S&P/Case-Shiller Tsev Nqe Index (13:30 UTC):
   • MOM (Oct): Yav dhau los: -0.4%.
   • YOG (Oct): Yav dhau los: 4.6%.
     Ib qho kev nce qib qhia tau hais tias ntxiv dag zog rau cov nqi vaj tsev, txhawb kev lag luam kev xav thiab USD. Kev poob qis hauv cov nqi vaj tsev yuav qhia tau tias muaj kev lag luam txias.
4. US Crude Oil Inventories (16:00 UTC):
   • Huab cua: -0.700M, Yav dhau los: -0.934 M.
     Cov khoom lag luam drawdowns qhia qhov kev thov muaj zog, muaj peev xwm txhawb nqa cov nqi roj thiab cov khoom lag luam sib txuas xws li CAD. Kev tsim kho qhia kom tsis muaj zog xav tau, nias tus nqi.
5. US Baker Hughes Rig suav (18:00 UTC):
   Taug qab cov roj rigs ua haujlwm. Kev suav nce ntxiv qhia tias muaj peev xwm muab tau ntau dua, uas tuaj yeem hnyav rau cov nqi roj. Kev suav poob qhia tias cov khoom siv nruj, txhawb nqa tus nqi.
6. CFTC Speculative Net Positions (20:30 UTC):
   • Kub, Nasdaq, S&P 500, AUD, JPY, EUR: Reflects kev lag luam sentiment thiab positioning. Cov kev hloov pauv yuav qhia tau tias muaj kev hloov pauv hauv kev pheej hmoo txaus ntshai lossis txiaj ntsig kev pom.

Kev Tshawb Fawb Txog Kev Ua Lag Luam

• Teb Chaws Asmeskas Cov Khoom Muag Khoom Muag:
  • Zoo Scenario: Ib qho kev lag luam me me yuav cuam tshuam txog kev lag luam txhim kho, txhawb nqa USD.
  • Negative Scenario: Ib qho kev tsis txaus siab loj tuaj yeem hnyav ntawm cov txiaj.
• Cov Khoom Muag Khoom Muag:
  Cov khoom lag luam nce siab tuaj yeem hais qhia cov khw muag khoom tsis muaj zog, thaum kev poob qis tuaj yeem qhia txog kev noj qab haus huv.
• Cov ntaub ntawv vaj tsev:
  Kev nce nqi hauv tsev txhawb cov neeg siv khoom muaj txiaj ntsig thiab kev xav ntawm kev lag luam, uas yuav txhawb nqa USD. Kev poob qis yuav qhia tau tias kev lag luam muag vaj tse muag muag.
• Crude Oil Inventories & Rig suav:
  • Zoo Scenario: Drawdowns nyob rau hauv crude inventory los yog poob rigs suav yuav nqa cov nqi roj, txhawb cov khoom-txuas cov txiaj ntsig.
  • Negative Scenario: Kev tsim los yog nce rig suav tuaj yeem hnyav ntawm cov nqi roj thiab cov txiaj ntsig cuam tshuam.
• CFTC Speculative Positions:
  Cov kev hloov pauv hauv kev xav txog kev ua haujlwm tau muab kev nkag siab rau hauv kev lag luam kev xav rau cov khoom lag luam tseem ceeb, qhov ntsuas, thiab cov txiaj ntsig, uas muaj feem cuam tshuam rau lub sijhawm luv luv.

Zuag qhia tag nrho

Volatility: Nruab nrab, nrog rau qhov tseem ceeb ntawm US cov ntaub ntawv kev lag luam, kev ntsuas vaj tse, thiab cov khoom muag roj.

Impact Score: 7/10, raws li kev lag luam kev lag luam thiab cov ntaub ntawv roj yog cov tsav tsheb tseem ceeb rau USD thiab cov khoom lag luam sib txuas.