Jeremy Oles
Qhia rau nws!
| Sijhawm (GMT+0/UTC+0) | State | tseem ceeb | Event | Forecast | Previous |
| 04:00 |  | 2 points | ECB Thawj Tswj Hwm Lagarde Hais lus | ---- | ---- |
| 05:00 | | 2 points | ECB Economic Bulletin | ---- | ---- |
| 06:00 | | 2 points | EU Cov Thawj Coj Summit | ---- | ---- |
| 07:00 | | 2 points | ECB Economic Bulletin | ---- | ---- |
| 08:00 | | 2 points | ECB's Txoj Kev Hais Lus | ---- | ---- |
| 08:30 |  | 2 points | Txuas ntxiv cov ntawv thov tsis muaj haujlwm | 1,890K | 1,870K |
| 08:30 | | 2 points | Tus account tam sim no (Q4) | -330.0B | -310.9B |
| 08:30 | | 3 points | Cov Ua Haujlwm Cov Neeg Ua Haujlwm Ua Ntej | 224K | 220K |
| 08:30 | | 3 points | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Lub Peb Hlis) | 8.8 | 18.1 |
| 08:30 | | 2 points | Philly Fed Kev Ua Haujlwm (Mar) | ---- | 5.3 |
| 10:00 | | 2 points | Kev Muag Khoom Hauv Tsev (MoM) (Lub Ob Hlis) | ---- | -4.9% |
| 10:00 | | 3 points | Kev Muag Khoom Hauv Tsev (Feb) | 3.95M | 4.08M |
| 10:00 | | 2 points | US Leading Index (MoM) (Lub Ob Hlis) | -0.2% | -0.3% |
| 13:00 | | 2 points | 10-Xyoo TIPS Auction | ---- | 2.243% |
| 16:30 | | 2 points | Fed's Balance Sheet | ---- | 6,760B |
| 19:30 |  | 2 points | National Core CPI (YoY) (Lub Ob Hlis) | 2.9% | 3.2% |
| 19:30 | | 2 points | National CPI (MoM) (Lub Ob Hlis) | ---- | 0.5% |
Cov ntsiab lus ntawm Cov Txheej Txheem Kev Lag Luam Yav Tom Ntej rau Lub Peb Hlis 20, 2025
Eurozone (🇪🇺)
- ECB Thawj Tswj Hwm Lagarde Hais Lus (04: 00 UTC)
- ECB Economic Bulletin (05:00 & 07:00 UTC)
- EU Cov Thawj Coj Summit (06:00 UTC)
- ECB Chief Economist Lane Hais lus (08:00 UTC)Kev ua lag luam cuam tshuam:
- tej dovhuas tone los ntawm Lagarde los yog Lane yuav tsis muaj zog EUR.
- ECB Economic Bulletin tuaj yeem cuam tshuam qhov kev cia siab.
United States (UA)
- Kev thov nyiaj poob haujlwm txuas ntxiv (08:30 UTC)
- Huab cua: 1,890K
- Yav dhau los: 1,870K
- Kev thov siab dua = kev ua lag luam tsis muaj zog = poob rau USD.
- Tus account tam sim no (Q4) (08: 30 UTC)
- Huab cua: - $330.0B
- Yav dhau los: - $310.9B
- A widening kev tsis txaus yuav tso siab rau USD.
- Kev thov nyiaj tsis ua hauj lwm pib (08:30 UTC)
- Huab cua: 224K
- Yav dhau los: 220K
- Kev thov nce ntxiv = softening hauj lwm lag luam = bearish rau USD.
- Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (08:30 UTC)
- Huab cua: 8.8
- Yav dhau los: 18.1
- A poob hauv kev lag luam kev xav = bearish rau USD & Tshuag lag luam.
- Kev Muag Khoom Hauv Tsev (MoM) (10:00 UTC)
- Yav dhau los: -4.9%
- Kev txo qis hauv tsev muag khoom qhia txog kev lag luam vaj tsev tsis muaj zog.
- Kev Muag Khoom Hauv Tsev (10:00 UTC)
- Huab cua: 3.95M
- Yav dhau los: 4.08M
- Kev muag qis = kev lag luam qeeb = dovish Fed kev cia siab.
- US Leading Index (MoM) (10:00 UTC)
- Huab cua: -0.2%
- Yav dhau los: -0.3%
- Kev poob qis txuas ntxiv qhia qaug zog economic zog.
- 10-Xyoo TIPS Auction (13:00 UTC)
- Yav dhau los Yield: 2.243%
- Cov txiaj ntsig siab dua = USD zog dua, qis dua tawm los = tsis muaj zog USD.
- Fed's Balance Sheet (16:30 UTC)
- Yav dhau los: $ 6,760B
- Saib rau kev nruj nreem cuam tshuam.
Nyiv (🇯🇵)
- National Core CPI (YoY) (19:30 UTC)
- Huab cua: 2.9%
- Yav dhau los: 3.2%
- Kev nyeem qis txhawb nqa a dov BoJ, hnyav rau JPY.
- National CPI (MoM) (19:30 UTC)
- Yav dhau los: 0.5%
- Inflation trend yuav cuam tshuam BoJ txoj kev xav.
Kev Tshawb Fawb Txog Kev Ua Lag Luam
- EUR: ECB cov lus hais thiab cov ntawv xov xwm nyiaj txiag yuav tsav tau volatility.
- USD: Tsis muaj zog Cov ntawv thov tsis muaj haujlwm & cov ntaub ntawv muag khoom hauv tsev yuav nce tus nqi txiav bets.
- JPY: CPI cov nuj nqis yuav cuam tshuam BoJ kev cia siab.
Zuag qhia tag nrho cov qhab nias: 7/10
Ntsiab tsom xam: ECB kev taw qhia, US cov ntaub ntawv ua haujlwm, thiab Nyiv CPI.
