Cov xwm txheej yuav tshwm sim tom ntej 18 Cuaj hlis 2024

Sijhawm (GMT+0/UTC+0)	State	tseem ceeb	Cov kev tshwm sim	forecast	Previous
09:00		2 cov ntsiab lus	Core CPI (YoY) (Aug)	2.8%	2.8%
09:00		2 cov ntsiab lus	CPI (MoM) (Aug)	0.2%	0.0%
09:00		3 cov ntsiab lus	CPI (YoY) (Aug)	2.2%	2.2%
12:00		2 cov ntsiab lus	ECB McCaul hais lus	---	---
12:30		2 cov ntsiab lus	Daim ntawv tso cai tsim tsev (Aug)	1.410M	1.406M
12:30		2 cov ntsiab lus	Housing Starts (MoM) (Aug)	---	-6.8%
12:30		2 cov ntsiab lus	Lub tsev pib (Aug)	1.310M	1.238M
14:30		3 cov ntsiab lus	Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3)	---	---
14:30		2 cov ntsiab lus	Crude Roj Inventories	---	0.833M
14:30		2 cov ntsiab lus	Cushing Crude Oil Inventories	---	-1.704M
18:00		2 cov ntsiab lus	Tus nqi paj laum - 1 xyoo (Q3)	---	4.1%
18:00		2 cov ntsiab lus	Tus nqi paj laum - 2nd Yr (Q3)	---	3.1%
18:00		2 cov ntsiab lus	Tus nqi paj laum - 3rd xyoo (Q1)	---	2.9%
18:00		2 cov ntsiab lus	Tus nqi paj laum - Tam sim no (Q3)	---	5.1%
18:00		2 cov ntsiab lus	Tus nqi paj laum - Ntev (Q3)	---	2.8%
18:00		3 cov ntsiab lus	FOMC Economic Projections	---	---
18:00		3 cov ntsiab lus	FOMC Cov Lus Qhia	---	---
18:00		3 cov ntsiab lus	Kev Txiav Txim Siab Los Ntawm Tsoom Fwv Kev Txiav Txim Siab	5.25%	5.50%
18:30		3 cov ntsiab lus	FOMC Xov Xwm Sib Tham	---	---
20:00		2 cov ntsiab lus	TIC Net Kev Ua Lag Luam Ntev Ntev (Jul)	---	96.1B
22:45		2 cov ntsiab lus	Tus account tam sim no (YoY) (Q2)	---	-27.64B
22:45		2 cov ntsiab lus	PIB (QoQ)	-0.4%	0.2%

Cov ntsiab lus ntawm Cov Txheej Txheem Kev Lag Luam Yav Tom Ntej rau Lub Cuaj Hli 18, 2024

1. Eurozone Core CPI (YoY) (Aug) (09:00 UTC): Ib xyoos dhau ib xyoos hloov pauv hauv qhov tseem ceeb Consumer Price Index, uas tsis suav nrog zaub mov thiab lub zog. Kev kwv yees: +2.8%, Yav dhau los: +2.8%.
2. Eurozone CPI (MoM) (Aug) (09:00 UTC) Lub hli hloov nyob rau hauv tag nrho cov Consumer Price Index. Kev kwv yees: +0.2%, Yav dhau los: 0.0%.
3. Eurozone CPI (YoY) (Aug) (09:00 UTC): Kev hloov pauv txhua xyoo hauv CPI tag nrho. Kev kwv yees: +2.2%, Yav dhau los: +2.2%.
4. ECB McCaul Hais Lus (12: 00 UTC): Cov lus ceeb toom los ntawm ECB Tus Thawj Saib Xyuas Pawg Thawj Coj McCaul, muaj peev xwm hais txog Eurozone kev lag luam lossis nyiaj txiag txoj cai.
5. US Building Permits (Aug) (12:30 UTC): Tus naj npawb ntawm cov ntawv tso cai tshiab tsim tawm. Huab cua: 1.410M, Yav dhau los: 1.406M.
6. US Housing Starts (MoM) (Aug) (12:30 UTC): Kev hloov pauv txhua hli hauv vaj tse pib. Yav dhau los: -6.8%.
7. US Housing Starts (Lub Yim Hli) (12:30 UTC): Tus naj npawb ntawm kev tsim vaj tsev tshiab tau pib. Huab cua: 1.310M, Yav dhau los: 1.238M.
8. Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) (14:30 UTC) Real-time kwv yees ntawm US GDP kev loj hlob rau Q3.
9. US Crude Oil Inventories (14:30 UTC): Hloov pauv txhua lub lim tiam hauv cov khoom lag luam roj av. Tom ntej: +0.833M.
10. US Cushing Crude Oil Inventories (14:30 UTC): Kev hloov pauv txhua lub lim tiam hauv cov khoom lag luam roj av ntawm Cushing, Oklahoma chaw cia khoom. Yav dhau los: -1.704M.
11. Fed paj laum kwv yees (18:00 UTC): Kev kwv yees rau yav tom ntej cov paj laum tshaj li 1 xyoo, 2 xyoos, 3 xyoos, thiab ntev dua, raws li Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve qhov kev xav txog nyiaj txiag.
    • 1st Xyoo Projection (Q3): Yav dhau los: 4.1%
    • 2nd Xyoo Projection (Q3): Yav dhau los: 3.1%
    • 3rd Xyoo Projection (Q3): Yav dhau los: 2.9%
    • Tam sim no tus nqi kwv yees (Q3): Yav dhau los: 5.1%
    • Ntev-ntev tus nqi kwv yees (Q3): Yav dhau los: 2.8%.
12. FOMC Economic Projections (18:00 UTC): Hloov tshiab ntawm Fed cov kev kwv yees rau kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam, kev poob hauj lwm, thiab kev nce nqi.
13. FOMC Cov Lus Qhia (18:00 UTC): Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve cov lus tshaj tawm, muab kev nkag siab txog txoj cai nyiaj txiag.
14. Fed Kev Txiav Txim Siab Tus Nqi (18:00 UTC): Kev txiav txim siab ntawm tsoomfwv cov nyiaj tau los. Kev kwv yees: 5.25%, Yav dhau los: 5.50%.
15. FOMC Xovxwm Sib Tham (18:30 UTC): Fed Chair Jerome Powell yuav tham txog qhov laj thawj tom qab Fed cov kev txiav txim siab txog nyiaj txiag.
16. US TIC Net Kev Ua Lag Luam Ntev Ntev (Lub Xya Hli) (20: 00 UTC): Ntsuas txawv teb chaws xav tau kev ruaj ntseg mus sij hawm ntev US. Tom ntej: $96.1B.
17. New Zealand Current Account (YoY) (Q2) (22:45 UTC): Kev hloov pauv txhua xyoo hauv New Zealand qhov nyiaj tshuav tam sim no. Yav dhau los: -27.64B.
18. New Zealand GDP (QoQ) (Q2) (22:45 UTC) Kev hloov pauv peb lub hlis twg hauv New Zealand's GDP. Kev kwv yees: -0.4%, Yav dhau los: +0.2%.

Kev Tshawb Fawb Txog Kev Ua Lag Luam

• Eurozone CPI: Kev ruaj khov lossis nce nyiaj nce ntxiv txhawb EUR, qhia txog tus nqi ruaj ntseg hauv cheeb tsam. CPI qis dua qhov kev cia siab yuav ua rau muaj kev txhawj xeeb txog kev lag luam qeeb qeeb.
• US Housing Data (Tsev Tso Cai thiab Housing Pib): Kev poob qis hauv vaj tse pib lossis kev tso cai tuaj yeem qhia txog kev lag luam tsis muaj zog hauv kev lag luam vaj tsev, uas yuav hnyav rau USD. Ib qho kev thim rov qab yuav txhawb nqa USD thiab qhia txog kev khwv nyiaj txiag.
• FOMC Cov Lus Qhia, Kev Txiav Txim Siab Tus Nqi, thiab Kev Tshaj Tawm: Fed qhov kev txiav txim siab thiab kev kwv yees nyiaj txiag yuav yog qhov tseem ceeb rau USD thiab thoob ntiaj teb kev lag luam. Yog tias Fed cov cim txuas ntxiv nruj, USD tuaj yeem ntxiv dag zog. Txawm li cas los xij, dovish teeb liab tuaj yeem ua rau USD tsis muaj zog thiab nqa cov khoom sib npaug.
• US Crude Oil Inventories: Kev nce hauv cov khoom lag luam tuaj yeem ua rau cov nqi roj qis dua, thaum qhov kev poob qis tuaj yeem txhawb nqa tus nqi siab dua, cuam tshuam rau cov khoom siv hluav taws xob thiab cov khoom lag luam sib txuas xws li CAD.
• New Zealand GDP thiab Current Account: Kev poob qis ntawm GDP lossis nthuav dav nyiaj tam sim no tuaj yeem ua rau NZD tsis muaj zog, qhia txog kev lag luam qeeb.

Zuag qhia tag nrho

• Volatility: Siab, tau tsav los ntawm Fed qhov kev txiav txim siab tus nqi thiab kev kwv yees, nrog rau cov ntaub ntawv vaj tse thiab kev nce nyiaj hauv Eurozone.
• Impact Score: 9/10, nrog lub peev xwm muaj zog rau kev lag luam kev txav mus los ntawm cov khoom lag luam, cov txiaj ntsig, cov ntawv cog lus, thiab cov khoom muag.