Jeremy Oles

Published On: 17/10/2024
Qhia rau nws!
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Technical Analysis rau AAPL los ntawm TradingView
Technical Analysis rau AAPL los ntawm TradingView
Technical Analysis rau AAPL los ntawm TradingView
Cov xwm txheej kev lag luam yuav los tom ntej 18 Lub Kaum Hli 2024
By Published On: 17/10/2024
Sijhawm (GMT+0/UTC+0)Statetseem ceebCov kev tshwm simforecastPrevious
02:00🇨🇳 ib2 cov ntsiab lusFixed Asset Investment (YoY) (Sep)3.3%3.4%
02:00🇨🇳 ib2 cov ntsiab lusPIB (QoQ)1.0%0.7%
02:00🇨🇳 ib3 cov ntsiab lusPIB (YoY) (Q3)4.6%4.7%
02:00🇨🇳 ib2 cov ntsiab lusPIB China (YTD) (Q3)---5.0%
02:00🇨🇳 ib2 cov ntsiab lusIndustrial Production (YoY) (Sep)4.6%4.5%
02:00🇨🇳 ib2 cov ntsiab lusTuam Tshoj Industrial Production YTD (YoY) (Sep)---5.8%
02:00🇨🇳 ib2 cov ntsiab lusSuav Puav Pheej Rate (Sep)5.3%5.3%
02:00🇨🇳 ib2 cov ntsiab lusNBS Xovxwm Sib Tham------
10:00Kuv hlub koj2 cov ntsiab lusEU Cov Thawj Coj Summit------
12:30🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusDaim ntawv tso cai tsim tsev (Sep)1.450M1.470M
12:30🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusLub tsev pib (Sep)1.350M1.356M
12:30🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusHousing Starts (MoM) (Sep)---9.6%
13:30🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusFOMC Tus Tswv Cuab Bostic Hais Lus------
14:00🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusFOMC Tus Tswv Cuab Kashkari Hais Lus------
14:30🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusAtlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3)3.4%3.4%
16:10🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusFed Waller hais lus------
16:30🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusFOMC Tus Tswv Cuab Bostic Hais Lus------
17:00🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusUS Baker Hughes Roj Rig suav---481
17:00🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusUS Baker Hughes Total Rig suav---586
19:30🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusCFTC Crude Oil speculative net txoj haujlwm---190.6K
19:30🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusCFTC Kub speculative net txoj haujlwm---278.2K
19:30🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusCFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net txoj haujlwm---13.3K
19:30🇺🇸2 cov ntsiab lusCFTC S&P 500 speculative net txoj haujlwm----5.6K
19:30🇦🇺2 cov ntsiab lusCFTC AUD speculative net positions---33.4K
19:30🇯🇵2 cov ntsiab lusCFTC JPY speculative net txoj haujlwm---36.5K
19:30Kuv hlub koj2 cov ntsiab lusCFTC EUR speculative net txoj haujlwm---39.1K

Cov ntsiab lus ntawm Cov Txheej Txheem Kev Lag Luam yuav los tom ntej rau Lub Kaum Hli 18, 2024

  1. Tuam Tshoj Fixed Asset Investment (YoY) (Sep) (02: 00 UTC):
    Ntsuas kev nqis peev hauv cov cuab yeej cuab tam xws li infrastructure thiab tshuab. Kev kwv yees: 3.3%, Yav dhau los: 3.4%. Kev loj hlob qeeb tuaj yeem qhia txog kev ua lag luam txias hauv Suav teb.
  2. PIB China (QoQ) (Q3) (02:00 UTC)
    Peb lub hlis twg kev loj hlob ntawm Tuam Tshoj txoj kev lag luam. Kev kwv yees: 1.0%, Yav dhau los: 0.7%. Qhov txiaj ntsig zoo tshaj qhov kev cia siab yuav qhia tau tias muaj kev lag luam loj hlob tuaj.
  3. PIB China (YoY) (Q3) (02:00 UTC)
    Kev loj hlob txhua xyoo ntawm Tuam Tshoj txoj kev lag luam. Kev kwv yees: 4.6%, Yav dhau los: 4.7%. Kev loj hlob qeeb dua li qhov kev cia siab yuav ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam txog kev lag luam, thaum kev loj hlob muaj zog yuav qhia tau tias muaj kev tiv thaiv.
  4. China GDP YTD (YoY) (Q3) (02:00 UTC)
    Taug qab qhov kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam xyoo dhau los. Tom ntej: 5.0%.
  5. Tuam Tshoj Industrial Ntau Lawm (YoY) (Sep) (02: 00 UTC):
    Ntsuas cov zis ntawm Tuam Tshoj txoj kev lag luam sector. Kev kwv yees: 4.6%, Yav dhau los: 4.5%. Kev nce hauv kev tsim khoom lag luam yuav qhia tau tias muaj kev xav tau zoo dua.
  6. Tuam Tshoj Industrial Qhuav YTD (YoY) (Sep) (02: 00 UTC):
    Xyoo-rau-hnub kev loj hlob ntawm cov khoom tsim tawm. Yav dhau los: 5.8%.
  7. Tuam Tshoj Tus Nqi Tsis Ua Haujlwm (Sep) (02: 00 UTC):
    Ntsuas qhov feem pua ​​​​ntawm cov neeg ua haujlwm uas poob haujlwm. Kev kwv yees: 5.3%, Yav dhau los: 5.3%. Kev poob haujlwm ruaj khov qhia txog kev ua lag luam tsis tu ncua.
  8. NBS Xovxwm Sib Tham (02:00 UTC):
    Lub rooj sib tham xov xwm los ntawm Tuam Tshoj National Bureau of Statistics, yuav tham txog lub teb chaws txoj kev ua tau zoo thiab kev pom zoo.
  9. EU Cov Thawj Coj Summit (10:00 UTC):
    Lub rooj sib tham ntawm European Union cov thawj coj los tham txog kev nom kev tswv thiab nyiaj txiag. Cov kev txiav txim siab tseem ceeb yuav cuam tshuam rau EUR.
  10. US Daim Ntawv Tso Cai Ua Tsev (Sep) (12:30 UTC):
    Ntsuas tus naj npawb ntawm daim ntawv tso cai tsim tsev tshiab. Huab cua: 1.450M, Yav dhau los: 1.470M. Ib qho kev poob qis tuaj yeem qhia txog kev ua lag luam hauv tsev qeeb qeeb.
  11. US Housing Pib (Sep) (12:30 UTC):
    Taug qab tus naj npawb ntawm kev tsim kho vaj tse tshiab. Huab cua: 1.350M, Yav dhau los: 1.356M. Ib qho kev poob qis qhia tias qhov kev thov tsis muaj zog rau cov tsev tshiab.
  12. Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) (14:30 UTC)
    Kev kwv yees real-time ntawm US GDP kev loj hlob. Kev kwv yees: 3.4%, Yav dhau los: 3.4%.
  13. FOMC Tus Tswv Cuab Bostic Hais Lus (13:30 & 16:30 UTC):
    Cov lus pom los ntawm Atlanta Fed Thawj Tswj Hwm Raphael Bostic tuaj yeem muab kev nkag siab rau hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas txoj cai nyiaj txiag thiab Fed qhov kev xav ntawm kev nce nqi thiab cov paj laum.
  14. FOMC Tus Tswv Cuab Kashkari Hais Lus (14:00 UTC):
    Neel Kashkari, Thawj Tswj Hwm ntawm Minneapolis Fed, tuaj yeem muab cov lus tawm tswv yim ntxiv rau Asmeskas kev lag luam thiab kev txiav txim siab tus paj laum yav tom ntej.
  15. Fed Waller Hais Lus (16:10 UTC):
    Cov lus ceeb toom los ntawm Fed Tus Thawj Kav Tebchaws Christopher Waller, uas tuaj yeem muab kev nkag siab rau Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve cov kev taw qhia yav tom ntej.
  16. US Baker Hughes Roj Rig suav (17:00 UTC):
    Tracks tus naj npawb ntawm cov roj rigs. Yav dhau los: 481. Kev suav nce tuaj yeem qhia tau tias muaj roj ntau ntxiv.
  17. US Baker Hughes Tag Nrho Cov Rig suav (17:00 UTC):
    Ntsuas tag nrho cov khoom siv roj thiab roj rigs. Tom ntej: 586.
  18. CFTC Speculative Net Positions (19:30 UTC):
    • Crude Oil Net Positions (Yav dhau los: 190.6K): Qhia txog kev lag luam kev xav rau tus nqi roj av.
    • Gold Net Positions (Yav dhau los: 278.2K): Reflects sentiment rau tus nqi kub, nrog siab dua net longs signaling bullish sentiment.
    • Nasdaq 100 Net Positions (Yav dhau los: 13.3K): Qhia txog kev ua lag luam nyob hauv tech stocks.
    • S&P 500 Net Positions (Yav dhau los: -5.6K): Reflects sentiment nyob rau hauv dav US Tshuag lag luam.
    • AUD Net Positions (Yav dhau los: 33.4K): Ntsuas qhov kev xav tau ntawm Australian duas.
    • JPY Net Txoj Haujlwm (Yav dhau los: 36.5K): Qhia speculative sentiment rau Japanese yen.
    • EUR Net Txoj Haujlwm (Yav dhau los: 39.1K): Reflects speculative market sentiment rau lub euro.

Kev Tshawb Fawb Txog Kev Ua Lag Luam

  • Tuam Tshoj GDP, Industrial Production, thiab Cov ntaub ntawv poob haujlwm:
    Muaj zog tshaj qhov kev cia siab GDP thiab cov ntaub ntawv tsim khoom lag luam yuav txhawb nqa cov khoom muaj nqis thiab cov khoom lag luam, qhia txog kev lag luam muaj zog hauv Suav teb. Cov txiaj ntsig tsis muaj zog tshaj li qhov xav tau tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev txhawj xeeb txog kev loj hlob thoob ntiaj teb, cuam tshuam rau kev pheej hmoo ntawm kev xav thiab hnyav ntawm cov txiaj ntsig txuas nrog kev thov thoob ntiaj teb, xws li AUD.
  • US Building Permits & Housing Starts:
    Kev poob qis hauv kev tso cai hauv tsev lossis kev pib vaj tsev yuav ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam hauv kev lag luam vaj tsev, uas tuaj yeem hnyav rau USD. Cov ntaub ntawv muaj zog tshaj li qhov xav tau yuav qhia txog kev muaj peev xwm nyob hauv Asmeskas cov vaj tsev nyob.
  • Fed Speech (Bostic, Kashkari, Waller):
    Hawkish cov lus hais los ntawm Fed cov neeg ua haujlwm yuav txhawb nqa USD los ntawm kev cia siab ntxiv ntawm kev nce nqi ntxiv, thaum cov lus tawm tswv yim dovish yuav hnyav rau cov txiaj.
  • CFTC Speculative Positions:
    Cov kev hloov pauv hauv qhov kev xav tau muab qhov kev pom rau hauv kev lag luam kev xav thoob plaws ntau yam cuab yeej cuab tam chav kawm. Kev nce hauv cov haujlwm ntev hauv cov khoom lag luam xws li roj av lossis kub ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam kev xav, thaum hloov pauv hauv kev ncaj ncees thiab txiaj ntsig muab cov lus qhia txog kev pheej hmoo ntawm kev ua lag luam.

Zuag qhia tag nrho

Volatility:
Nruab nrab, nrog kev saib xyuas tseem ceeb ntawm Suav cov ntaub ntawv kev lag luam, Asmeskas cov khoom lag luam vaj tsev nyob, thiab Fed hais lus. Kev lag luam yuav ze ze saib Suav GDP thiab kev tsim khoom lag luam rau cov lus qhia ntawm kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb, thaum Fed cov neeg ua haujlwm cov lus yuav tsim kev cia siab rau US txoj cai nyiaj txiag.

Impact Score: 7/10, nrog rau kev sib xyaw ntawm cov ntaub ntawv tseem ceeb ntawm kev lag luam los ntawm Tuam Tshoj thiab Asmeskas cov nuj nqis vaj tse xav tias yuav cuam tshuam rau ntiaj teb kev pheej hmoo siab thiab kev cia siab rau yav tom ntej hauv tuam txhab nyiaj hauv tuam txhab.

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