Cov xwm txheej yuav los tom ntej 18 Lub Peb Hlis 2025

Sijhawm (GMT+0/UTC+0)	State	tseem ceeb	Event	Forecast	Previous
10:00		2 points	Trade Balance (Lub Ib Hlis)	14.1B	15.5B
10:00		2 points	ZEW Economic Sentiment (Mar)	43.6	24.2
12:30		2 points	Daim ntawv tso cai tsim tsev (Feb)	1.450M	1.473M
12:30		2 points	Export Price Index (MoM) (Lub Ob Hlis)	2.0%	1.3%
12:30		2 points	Lub tsev pib (Lub Ob Hlis)	1.380M	1.366M
12:30		2 points	Housing Starts (MoM) (Lub Ob Hlis)	----	-9.8%
12:30		2 points	Import Price Index (MoM) (Lub Ob Hlis)	-0.1%	0.3%
13:15		2 points	Industrial Production (MoM) (Lub Ob Hlis)	0.2%	0.5%
13:15		2 points	Industrial Production (YoY) (Lub Ob Hlis)	----	2.00%
17:00		2 points	20-Xyoo Bond Auction	----	4.830%
17:15		2 points	Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q1)	-2.1%	-2.1%
20:00		2 points	Westpac Consumer Sentiment (Q1)	----	97.5
20:30		2 points	API Lub Limtiam Crude Roj Tshuag	----	4.247M
21:45		2 points	Tus account tam sim no (YoY) (Q4)	----	-26.99B
21:45		2 points	Tus account tam sim no (QoQ) (Q4)	-6.66B	-10.58B
23:50		2 points	Kho Kev Lag Luam Kev Lag Luam	0.51T	-0.86T
23:50		2 points	Exports (YoY) (Lub Ob Hlis)	12.1%	7.2%
23:50		2 points	Trade Balance (Feb)	722.8B	-2,758.8B

Cov ntsiab lus ntawm Cov Txheej Txheem Kev Lag Luam Yav Tom Ntej rau Lub Peb Hlis 18, 2025

Europe (🇪🇺) – 10:00 UTC

1. Trade Balance (Lub Ib Hlis)
   • Huab cua: € 14.1 ib
   • Yav dhau los: € 15.5 ib
   • A qis dua kev lag luam tuaj yeem qhia qeeb export thov, cuam tshuam EUR.
2. ZEW Economic Sentiment (Mar)
   • Huab cua: 43.6
   • Yav dhau los: 24.2
   • Kev txhim kho muaj zog muaj teeb liab optimism txog EU kev lag luam, bullish rau EUR & stocks.

United States (UA)

3. Daim ntawv tso cai tsim tsev (Lub Ob Hlis) (12:30 UTC)
   • Huab cua: 1.450M
   • Yav dhau los: 1.473M
   • Kev poob qis tso cai rau lub teeb liab kev ua vaj tse qeeb, ceev faj rau USD & khoom vaj khoom tsev.
4. Export Price Index (MoM) (Lub Ob Hlis) (12:30 UTC)
   • Huab cua: 2.0%
   • Yav dhau los: 1.3%
   • Tus nqi nce nce US export kev sib tw, zoo rau USD & inflation outlook.
5. Lub tsev pib (Lub Ob Hlis) (12:30 UTC)
   • Huab cua: 1.380M
   • Yav dhau los: 1.366M
   • Nce = zoo vaj tse kev lag luam kev xav, txhawb nqa cov khoom siv hauv tsev.
6. Import Price Index (MoM) (Lub Ob Hlis) (12:30 UTC)
   • Huab cua: -0.1%
   • Yav dhau los: 0.3%
   • Tus nqi ntshuam poob qhia qis inflationary siab, ua tau soften Fed tus nqi stance.
7. Industrial Production (MoM) (Lub Ob Hlis) (13:15 UTC)
   • Huab cua: 0.2%
   • Yav dhau los: 0.5%
   • Kev loj hlob qeeb qhia txog kev tsim khoom cua txias, tej zaum hnyav rau USD & stocks.
8. 20-Xyoo Bond Auction (17:00 UTC)
   • Yav dhau los Yield: 4.830%
   • Kev thov siab = bullish rau daim ntawv cog lus, bearish rau USD.
9. Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q1) (17:15 UTC)
   • Yav dhau los: -2.1%
   • Kev nyeem ntawv tsis muaj zog kev lag luam qeeb, tuaj yeem hnyav USD & nyiaj txiag.
10. API Lub Limtiam Crude Roj Tshuag (20:30 UTC)

• Yav dhau los: 4.247M
• Cov khoom lag luam siab dua tuaj yeem siab cov nqi roj, poob rau lub zog tso tawm.

New Zealand (🇳🇿)

11. Westpac Consumer Sentiment (Q1) (20:00 UTC)

• Yav dhau los: 97.5
• Kev ntseeg siab ntawm cov neeg siv khoom tsawg tuaj yeem hnyav rau NZD.

12. Tus account tam sim no (QoQ) (Q4) (21:45 UTC)

• Huab cua: -6.66B
• Yav dhau los: -10.58B
• Cov nyiaj tsawg dua = qhov zoo rau NZD, tab sis kev pheej hmoo mus sij hawm ntev tseem nyob.

Nyiv (🇯🇵) – 23:50 UTC

13. Hloov pauv kev ua lag luam (Feb)

• Huab cua: ¥ 0.51T
• Yav dhau los: ¥-0.86T
• Rov qab mus rau qhov seem = bullish rau JPY.

14. Exports (YoY) (Lub Ob Hlis)

• Huab cua: 12.1%
• Yav dhau los: 7.2%
• Kev xa tawm muaj zog = zoo rau JPY & kev sib npaug.

15. Trade Balance (Feb)

• Huab cua: ¥ 722.8B
• Yav dhau los: ¥-2,758.8B
• Kev lag luam nyiaj seem tuaj yeem ua tau txhawb JPY kev thov.

Kev Tshawb Fawb Txog Kev Ua Lag Luam

• EUR: ZEW Sentiment & Trade data yuam sij rau kev taw qhia.
• USD: Tsev, cov ntaub ntawv muaj & Fed GDPNow los cuam tshuam kev xav.
• NZD: Cov neeg siv khoom ntseeg siab & cov ntaub ntawv tam sim no yuav tsav volatility.
• JPY: Trade tshaj tawm & export zog yuav nqa JPY.
• Cov roj: API raw khoom yuav cuam tshuam zog stocks & oil price.

Zuag qhia tag nrho cov qhab nias: 7/10

Ntsiab tsom xam: ZEW Sentiment, Teb Chaws Asmeskas kev tsim khoom, Nyiv kev lag luam sib npaug.