Jeremy Oles

Published On: 16/12/2024
Qhia rau nws!
Cov xwm txheej kev lag luam yuav los tom ntej 17 Lub Kaum Ob Hlis 2024
By Published On: 16/12/2024
Sijhawm (GMT+0/UTC+0)Statetseem ceebEventforecastPrevious
10:00Kuv hlub koj2 pointsECB Tus Txwj Laug Hais Lus--------
10:00Kuv hlub koj2 pointsTrade Balance (Lub Kaum Hli)11.9B12.5B
10:00Kuv hlub koj2 pointsZEW Economic Sentiment (Dec)11.812.5
13:30🇺🇸2 pointsCore Retail Sales (MoM) (Nov)0.4%0.1%
13:30🇺🇸2 pointsRetail Control (MoM) (Nov)-----0.1%
13:30🇺🇸2 pointsMuag Khoom Muag (MoM) (Nov)0.6%0.4%
14:15🇺🇸2 pointsIndustrial Production (YoY) (Nov)0.10%-0.29%
14:15🇺🇸2 pointsIndustrial Production (MoM) (Nov)0.2%-0.3%
15:00🇺🇸2 pointsKev Lag Luam Inventories (MoM) (Oct)0.2%0.1%
15:00🇺🇸2 pointsRetail Inventories Ex Auto (Oct)0.1%0.1%
18:00🇺🇸2 points20-Xyoo Bond Auction----4.680%
18:00🇺🇸2 pointsAtlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4)3.3%3.3%
21:30🇺🇸2 pointsAPI Lub Limtiam Crude Roj Tshuag----0.499M
21:45🇳🇿 ib2 pointsTus account tam sim no (YoY) (Q3)---- -27.76B
21:45🇳🇿 ib2 pointsTus account tam sim no (QoQ) (Q3)-10.45B-4.83B
23:50🇯🇵2 pointsKho Kev Lag Luam Kev Lag Luam-0.45T-0.36T
23:50🇯🇵2 pointsExports (YoY) (Nov)2.8%3.1%
23:50🇯🇵2 pointsTrade Balance (Nov)-688.9B462.1B

Cov ntsiab lus ntawm Cov Txheej Txheem Kev Lag Luam Yav Tom Ntej rau Lub Kaum Ob Hlis 17, 2024

  1. Eurozone Economic Data (10:00 UTC):
    • ECB Tus Txwj Laug Hais Lus: Kev tawm tswv yim txog kev tswj hwm nyiaj txiag lossis kev lag luam yuav cuam tshuam rau EUR.
    • Trade Balance (Lub Kaum Hli): Huab cua: 11.9B, Yav dhau los: 12.5B.
      Qhia txog kev lag luam net ntawm Eurozone. Ib qho nyiaj ntau dua txhawb nqa EUR, thaum qhov kev poob qis qhia tias qhov kev thov sab nraud tsis muaj zog.
    • ZEW Economic Sentiment (Lub Kaum Ob Hlis): Huab cua: 11.8, Yav dhau los: 12.5.
      Reflects investor kev ntseeg siab. Kev nyeem ntawv siab dua txhawb nqa EUR los ntawm kev qhia txog kev txhim kho kev cia siab rau kev lag luam.
  2. US Retail & Industrial Data (13:30–15:00 UTC):
    • Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Kaum Ib Hlis): Kev kwv yees: 0.4%, Yav dhau los: 0.1%.
    • Kev Muag Khoom Muag (MoM) (November): Kev kwv yees: 0.6%, Yav dhau los: 0.4%.
    • Industrial Production (MoM) (Nov) : Kev kwv yees: 0.2%, Yav dhau los: -0.3%.
    • Kev Lag Luam Cov Khoom Muag (MoM) (Lub Kaum Hli): Kev kwv yees: 0.2%, Yav dhau los: 0.1%.
      Cov khw muag khoom muaj zog thiab cov ntaub ntawv kev lag luam txhawb nqa USD los ntawm kev taw qhia cov neeg siv khoom zoo thiab kev tsim khoom. Cov nuj nqis tsis muaj zog yuav qhia tias qeeb qeeb, muaj peev xwm hnyav ntawm cov txiaj.
  3. US 20-Year Bond Auction (18:00 UTC):
    • Yav dhau los Yield: 4.680%.
      Cov txiaj ntsig siab dua qhia txog kev xav tau ntau ntxiv rau kev rov qab los lossis nce kev cia siab nyiaj txiag, txhawb nqa USD.
  4. US API Txhua Lub Limtiam Roj Crude Tshuag (21: 30 UTC):
    • Yav dhau los: 0.499M.
      Drawdowns qhia qhov kev thov muaj zog, txhawb nqa cov nqi roj thiab cov khoom lag luam sib txuas zoo li CAD. Kev tsim kho qhia kom tsis muaj zog xav tau, nias tus nqi.
  5. New Zealand Current Account (Q3) (21:45 UTC):
    • QoQ: Huab cua: -10.45B, Yav dhau los: -4.83B.
    • Yog: Yav dhau los: -27.76B.
      Ib qho kev poob qis txhawb nqa NZD los ntawm kev qhia txog kev txhim kho kev lag luam kev lag luam, thaum qhov kev lag luam nthuav dav hnyav ntawm cov txiaj.
  6. Nyiv Cov Ntaub Ntawv Kev Lag Luam (23: 50 UTC):
    • Kho Kev Lag Luam Kev Lag Luam (Kaum Ib Hlis): Huab cua: -0.45T, Yav dhau los: -0.36T.
    • Exports (YoY) (Nov): Kev kwv yees: 2.8%, Yav dhau los: 3.1%.
    • Trade Balance (Nov) Huab cua: -688.9B, Yav dhau los: 462.1B.
      Kev xa tawm siab dua lossis txhim kho kev lag luam sib npaug yuav txhawb nqa JPY los ntawm kev xav txog kev thov sab nraud muaj zog. Cov ntaub ntawv tsis muaj zog yuav hnyav ntawm cov txiaj.

Kev Tshawb Fawb Txog Kev Ua Lag Luam

  • Cov ntaub ntawv Eurozone:
    Kev txhim kho kev lag luam sib npaug lossis kev xav yuav txhawb nqa EUR, qhia txog kev rov qab los rau sab nraud thiab cov neeg ua lag luam kev ntseeg siab. Kev nyeem tsis muaj zog yuav qhia txog kev sib tw, hnyav ntawm cov txiaj.
  • US Retail & Industrial Data:
    Cov khw muag khoom muaj zog thiab kev tsim khoom lag luam yuav txhawb kev cia siab ntawm kev lag luam, txhawb nqa USD. Cov ntaub ntawv tsis muaj zog yuav qhia tias kev xav tau qeeb thiab hnyav ntawm cov txiaj.
  • New Zealand Current Account:
    Qhov kev txo qis qis yuav qhia txog kev txhim kho kev lag luam, txhawb nqa NZD. Ib tug widening deficit yuav hnyav rau cov txiaj.
  • Nyiv Trade Data:
    Kev xa tawm siab dua lossis kev lag luam nqaim qis yuav txhawb nqa JPY, xav txog kev xav tau sab nraud muaj zog. Cov ntaub ntawv tsis muaj zog yuav qhia txog kev sib tw, hnyav ntawm cov txiaj.

Zuag qhia tag nrho

Volatility:
Nruab nrab mus rau siab, tau tsav los ntawm cov khw muag khoom tseem ceeb thiab cov ntaub ntawv kev lag luam los ntawm Teb Chaws Asmeskas, Eurozone kev lag luam thiab cov ntawv tshaj tawm kev xav, thiab kev lag luam sib npaug ntawm New Zealand thiab Nyiv.

Impact Score: 7/10, nrog US khw muag khoom, kev tsim khoom, thiab Eurozone cov ntaub ntawv luam tawm yog tus tsav tsheb tseem ceeb rau USD, EUR, NZD, thiab JPY txav.