Jeremy Oles
Qhia rau nws!
| Sijhawm (GMT+0/UTC+0) | State | tseem ceeb | Cov kev tshwm sim | forecast | Previous |
| 04:30 |  | 2 cov ntsiab lus | Industrial Production (MoM) (Aug) | -3.3% | -3.3% |
| 09:00 |  | 2 cov ntsiab lus | IEA Daim Ntawv Qhia Txhua Lub Hlis | --- | --- |
| 09:00 |  | 2 cov ntsiab lus | Industrial Production (MoM) (Aug) | 1.8% | -0.3% |
| 09:05 | | 2 cov ntsiab lus | ZEW Economic Sentiment (Oct) | 16.9 | 9.3 |
| 12:30 | | 2 cov ntsiab lus | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Lub Kaum Hli) | 3.40 | 11.50 |
| 15:30 | | 2 cov ntsiab lus | FOMC Tus Tswv Cuab Daly Hais Lus | --- | --- |
| 18:00 | | 2 cov ntsiab lus | Federal Budget Balance (Sep) | 61.0B | -380.0B |
| 21:45 |  | 2 cov ntsiab lus | CPI (YoY) (Q3) | 2.2% | 3.3% |
| 21:45 | | 2 cov ntsiab lus | CPI (QoQ) (Q3) | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| 23:00 | | 2 cov ntsiab lus | FOMC Tus Tswv Cuab Bostic Hais Lus | --- | --- |
Cov ntsiab lus ntawm Cov Txheej Txheem Kev Lag Luam yuav los tom ntej rau Lub Kaum Hli 15, 2024
- Nyiv Industrial Production (MoM) (Aug) (04:30 UTC):
Ntsuas qhov hloov pauv txhua hli hauv cov khoom lag luam tawm. Kev kwv yees: -3.3%, Yav dhau los: -3.3%. Kev poob qis qhia tau tias tsis muaj zog ntxiv hauv Nyij Pooj kev tsim khoom lag luam. - IEA Lub Hlis Tshaj Tawm (09: 00 UTC):
Lub koom haum International Energy Agency daim ntawv tshaj tawm txhua hli muab cov ncauj lus kom ntxaws txog kev lag luam hluav taws xob thoob ntiaj teb, suav nrog cov khoom siv thiab kev xav tau kev kwv yees uas tuaj yeem cuam tshuam cov nqi roj thiab roj. - Eurozone Industrial Production (MoM) (Lub Yim Hli) (09: 00 UTC):
Kev ntsuas kev hloov pauv hauv kev tsim khoom lag luam hauv Eurozone. Kev kwv yees: 1.8%, Yav dhau los: -0.3%. Kev rov qab los ntawm kev tsim khoom yuav qhia txog kev lag luam rov qab los, txhawb nqa EUR. - Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment (Oct) (09:05 UTC):
Kev tshawb fawb ntawm kev xav ntawm kev lag luam ntawm cov tuam txhab lag luam. Huab cua: 16.9, Yav dhau los: 9.3. Cov lej siab dua qhia txog kev txhim kho kev cia siab txog kev lag luam Eurozone. - US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Oct) (12:30 UTC):
Ib qho qhia txog kev tsim khoom hauv xeev New York. Huab cua: 3.40, Yav dhau los: 11.50. Kev nyeem ntawv qis dua qhia tias kev lag luam qeeb qeeb. - FOMC Tus Tswv Cuab Daly Hais Lus (15:30 UTC):
Cov lus ceeb toom los ntawm San Francisco Fed Thawj Tswj Hwm Mary Daly tuaj yeem muab kev nkag siab rau Fed txoj cai txoj cai yav tom ntej, tshwj xeeb ntawm kev nce nqi thiab cov paj laum. - Teb Chaws Asmeskas Tsoom Fwv Nyiaj Txiag Nyiaj Txiag (Sep) (18:00 UTC):
Taug qab qhov sib txawv ntawm tsoomfwv cov nyiaj tau los thiab kev siv nyiaj. Huab cua: $61.0B, Yav dhau los: -$380.0B. Ib qho nyiaj seem yuav qhia txog kev txhim kho nyiaj txiag, uas tuaj yeem txhawb nqa USD. - New Zealand CPI (YoY) (Q3) (21:45 UTC):
Kev nce nqi txhua xyoo hauv New Zealand. Kev kwv yees: 2.2%, Yav dhau los: 3.3%. Kev poob qis hauv kev nce nqi tuaj yeem txo qhov siab ntawm Reserve Bank of New Zealand kom nce nqi. - New Zealand CPI (QoQ) (Q3) (21:45 UTC):
Peb lub hlis twg tus nqi nce nqi hauv New Zealand. Kev kwv yees: 0.7%, Yav dhau los: 0.4%. Kev nce nqi siab dua tuaj yeem txhawb nqa NZD, thaum cov ntaub ntawv qis dua qhov kev cia siab yuav ua rau nws tsis muaj zog. - FOMC Tus Tswv Cuab Bostic Hais Lus (23:00 UTC):
Cov lus hais los ntawm Raphael Bostic, Thawj Tswj Hwm ntawm Atlanta Fed, tuaj yeem muab kev nkag siab ntxiv rau Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve qhov kev xav ntawm kev nce nqi thiab cov paj laum.
Kev Tshawb Fawb Txog Kev Ua Lag Luam
- Nyiv Industrial Production:
Kev poob qis txuas ntxiv yuav qhia txog qhov tsis muaj zog nyob rau hauv Nyij Pooj kev lag luam, tej zaum yuav hnyav rau JPY. - IEA Daim Ntawv Qhia Txhua Hlis:
Daim ntawv tshaj tawm kev nkag siab txog kev lag luam hluav taws xob thoob ntiaj teb tuaj yeem cuam tshuam cov nqi roj. Ib qho kev nthuav dav ntxiv yuav txhawb nqa tus nqi, thaum kev kwv yees ntawm kev xa khoom ntau dhau tuaj yeem hnyav rau lawv. - Eurozone Industrial Production & ZEW Economic Sentiment:
Cov ntaub ntawv tsim tawm muaj zog tshaj li qhov xav tau thiab kev txhim kho kev lag luam kev xav yuav txhawb nqa EUR los ntawm kev qhia txog kev rov qab los hauv Eurozone kev lag luam. Cov lej tsis muaj zog tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev cia siab zoo. - US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index:
Kev poob qis hauv kev tsim khoom lag luam yuav qhia txog kev lag luam tsis muaj zog, uas tuaj yeem ua rau USD muag muag. Cov ntaub ntawv muaj zog tshaj li qhov xav tau yuav muaj qhov cuam tshuam. - New Zealand CPI (YoY & QoQ):
Tus nqi qis dua hauv New Zealand yuav txo qis kev ntxhov siab ntawm lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab kom nce cov paj laum, ua rau NZD tsis muaj zog. Kev nce nqi siab tshaj qhov kev cia siab yuav txhawb nqa NZD los ntawm kev ua kom muaj peev xwm nce ntxiv rau yav tom ntej. - FOMC Hais Lus (Daly, Bostic):
Hawkish cov lus los ntawm Daly lossis Bostic tuaj yeem txhawb nqa USD los ntawm kev qhia txog kev nce paj ntxiv. Dovish cov lus hais tuaj yeem ua rau USD tsis muaj zog los ntawm kev qhia kom ceev faj txog kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam.
Zuag qhia tag nrho
Volatility:
Nruab nrab mus rau siab, nrog rau qhov tseem ceeb ntawm kev lag luam hluav taws xob thoob ntiaj teb (ntawm IEA tsab ntawv ceeb toom), cov ntaub ntawv nyiaj txiag los ntawm New Zealand, thiab Asmeskas kev tsim khoom. Central bank tawm tswv yim los ntawm FOMC cov tswv cuab tseem yuav yog qhov tseem ceeb hauv kev tsim cov kev cia siab rau kev lag luam rau yav tom ntej txoj cai nyiaj txiag.
Impact Score: 7/10, tau tsav los ntawm cov ntaub ntawv tseem ceeb ntawm kev lag luam los ntawm Eurozone, New Zealand cov nuj nqis nce ntxiv, thiab cov cim kev tsim khoom hauv Asmeskas, tag nrho cov no tuaj yeem cuam tshuam kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb kev xav thiab kev cia siab ntawm txoj cai nyiaj txiag.
