Jeremy Oles

Published On: 13/04/2025
Qhia rau nws!
Cov xwm txheej yuav los tom ntej 14 Lub Plaub Hlis 2025
By Published On: 13/04/2025
Sijhawm (GMT+0/UTC+0)Statetseem ceebEventForecastPrevious
04:30🇯🇵2 pointsIndustrial Production (MoM) (Lub Ob Hlis)2.5%2.5%
11:00🇺🇸2 pointsOPEC Daim Ntawv Qhia Txhua Lub Hlis--------
12:00🇨🇳 ib2 pointsCov Nyiaj Txais Tshiab (Mar)3,020.0B1,010.0B
15:00🇺🇸2 pointsNY Fed 1-Xyoo Consumer Inflation Expectations (Mar)----3.1%
16:48🇨🇳 ib2 pointsExports (YoY) (Lub Peb Hlis)4.4%2.3%
16:48🇨🇳 ib2 pointsNtshuam (YoY) (Mar)-2.0%-8.4%
16:48🇨🇳 ib2 pointsTrade Balance (USD) (Mar)74.30B170.52B
17:00🇺🇸2 pointsFed Waller hais lus--------
22:00🇺🇸2 pointsFOMC Tus Tswv Cuab Harker Hais Lus--------
23:40🇺🇸2 pointsFOMC Tus Tswv Cuab Bostic Hais Lus--------

Cov ntsiab lus ntawm Cov Txheej Txheem Kev Lag Luam Yav Tom Ntej ntawm Lub Plaub Hlis 14, 2025

Nyiv (🇯🇵)

  1. Muaj Ntau Lawm (MoM) (Lub Ob Hlis) – 04:30 UTC
    • Huab cua / yav dhau los: 2.5% / 2.5%
    • Kev ua lag luam cuam tshuam:
      • ruaj khov kev loj hlob qhia ruaj khov industrial tso zis, nruab nrab rau JPY tshwj tsis yog tias qhov tseeb deviates tseem ceeb.

United States (UA)

  1. OPEC Lub Hlis Tshaj Tawm - 11:00 UTC
    • Kev ua lag luam cuam tshuam:
      • Tej zaum yuav cuam tshuam roj lag luam nyob ntawm qhov kev xav tau ntawm cov khoom lag luam thiab cov kev xav tau thoob ntiaj teb hloov kho.
  2. NY Fed 1-Year Consumer Inflation Expectations (Mar) – 15:00 UTC
    • Yav dhau los: 3.1%
    • Kev ua lag luam cuam tshuam:
      • Kev cia siab siab dua tuaj yeem qhia tau kev txhawj xeeb txog nyiaj txiag, muaj peev xwm nqa daim ntawv cog lus yields thiab USD.
  3. Fed Waller, Harker, thiab Bostic Hais Lus - 17:00, 22:00, thiab 23:40 UTC
    • Kev ua lag luam cuam tshuam:
      • Fed cov tub ceev xwm lub suab yuav cuam tshuam kev lag luam kev cia siab ntawm cov paj laum.
      • Hawkish tawm tswv yim tuaj yeem txhawb USD, thaum dovish teeb liab yuav tau txais txiaj ntsig sib npaug.

Tuam Tshoj (🇨🇳)

  1. Cov Nyiaj Txais Tshiab (Lub Peb Hlis) - 12:00 UTC
    • Huab cua / yav dhau los: 3,020.0B/1,010.0B
    • Kev ua lag luam cuam tshuam:
      • Muaj zog credit loj hlob qhia kev txhawb nqa txoj cai thiab kev rov qab los hauv tsev, uas tej zaum txhawb kev noj qab haus huv txaus ntshai ntiaj teb.
  2. Exports / Imports / Trade Balance (Mar) – 16:48 UTC
    • Exports (YOY): Kev kwv yees 4.4% / Yav dhau los 2.3%
    • Ntshuam (YOY): Kev kwv yees -2.0% / Yav dhau los -8.4%
    • Tshuav Kev Lag Luam: Kwv yees $74.30B / Yav dhau los $170.52B
    • Kev ua lag luam cuam tshuam:
      • Cov ntaub ntawv lag luam zoo dua txhawb nqa thoob ntiaj teb kev xav tau outlook thiab Cov khoom lag luam sib txuas (AUD, NZD).

Zuag qhia tag nrho Kev Ua Lag Luam Impact Analysis

  • USD: Muaj peev xwm volatility los ntawm Fed hais lus thiab kev cia siab nyiaj txiag.
  • JPY: Cov khoom lag luam ruaj khov tuaj yeem muab tau txwv kev txav mus los tshwj tsis yog surprise.
  • Cov Khoom Muag: OPEC thiab Suav lag luam cov nuj nqis tuaj yeem tsav roj thiab cov khoom lag luam txuas nrog cov txiaj ntsig.
  • Vaj Huam Sib Luag: Sensitive rau Fed lus thiab credit signals los ntawm Tuam Tshoj.

Zuag qhia tag nrho cov qhab nias: 5/10

Ntsiab tsom xam: Tuam Tshoj tus credit thiab luam cov ntaub ntawv, Thiab Fed lus tawm tswv yim ntawm inflation trajectory.